FGR Run In

For me, it’s only worth going week by week. Another game ticked off today. We’ve advanced another point on FGR, and held our ground on Colchester. We’ve gained a point on Salford and Swindon and we’ve conceded 2 points to Sutton, but with minimal impact due to their deficit. All in all, a good Saturday, and a good week and another game chalked off.

Next Saturday is winnable but the value of the result, whatever it is, can only be judged by what the other 3 or 4 teams do. In that regard, I don’t really see the point in trying to speculate on where 3 points might come from and how it might move us either closer to safety or nearer to peril. All of our rivals have hard looking fixtures next Saturday, bar Swindon who don’t play. 3 points or a draw for us next Saturday could be massive, or we could lose, along with all our rivals, and we’d still call it as ok as we’d lost no ground. Game by game is the only show in town really, with regard to judging the relative importance of a result.

Quoted from chaos33

For me, it’s only worth going week by week. Another game ticked off today. We’ve advanced another point on FGR, and held our ground on Colchester. We’ve gained a point on Salford and Swindon and we’ve conceded 2 points to Sutton, but with minimal impact due to their deficit. All in all, a good Saturday, and a good week and another game chalked off.

Next Saturday is winnable but the value of the result, whatever it is, can only be judged by what the other 3 or 4 teams do. In that regard, I don’t really see the point in trying to speculate on where 3 points might come from and how it might move us either closer to safety or nearer to peril. All of our rivals have hard looking fixtures next Saturday, bar Swindon who don’t play. 3 points or a draw for us next Saturday could be massive, or we could lose, along with all our rivals, and we’d still call it as ok as we’d lost no ground. Game by game is the only show in town really, with regard to judging the relative importance of a result.

Mansfield v Colchester is an early KO, so we might be a bit more relaxed than usual before the Wrexham game. Hope so.

We don't look like losing (maybe today we got a tad fortunate)and that will do for me .

I'm not sure we are now even in the conversation for the drop - if we are so are Salford & Swindon maybe even more so than us .

Realistically FGR need 3 more wins than us , they keep losing to relegation rivals and have some top teams hungry for points to play .
They’ll be more worried then us

And you’d be justified in expecting Mansfield to tonk Colchester, with the form book also suggesting that Donny won’t lose to the vegans. If that’s what transpires, the fact that it’s another game ticked off would matter more than the actual result of our game. I’m grateful for that, and we’ve earned that  from our recent impressive unbeaten run.

On the face of it, FGR have the hardest run in of the bottom 4. Looking at the average position of opponents, along with the average points difference between the teams (on today’s table), shows -

GTFC:
Average Position - 11.5
Average Pts Difference - 14.3 pts ahead of us

Colchester:
Average Position - 10.2
Average Pts Difference - 23.1 pts ahead of Col U

FGR:
Average Position - 7.5 (ooooof)
Average Pts Difference - 27.6 pts ahead of FGR

Sutton:
Average Position - 12th
Average Pts Difference - 23.5 pts ahead of Sutton

We all know what can happen on any given matchday, and there are a million different factors that come into it. Home v Away, oppo with nothing to play for, injuries, etc.

I’m still erring on the side of having soiled duds, but FGR will be looking at 1pt from three games against us, Col U & Sutton in the last 6 weeks and must be thinking they’ve made it much harder for themselves.

Sutton have the best run in but even just 1 point in our 2 in hand would put us 10 clear of them with 7 to play. A single win and we’re 12 clear with a much better GD.

Quoted from ska face

On the face of it, FGR have the hardest run in of the bottom 4. Looking at the average position of opponents, along with the average points difference between the teams (on today’s table), shows -

GTFC:
Average Position - 11.5
Average Pts Difference - 14.3 pts ahead of us

Colchester:
Average Position - 10.2
Average Pts Difference - 23.1 pts ahead of Col U

FGR:
Average Position - 7.5 (ooooof)
Average Pts Difference - 27.6 pts ahead of FGR

Sutton:
Average Position - 12th
Average Pts Difference - 23.5 pts ahead of Sutton

We all know what can happen on any given matchday, and there are a million different factors that come into it. Home v Away, oppo with nothing to play for, injuries, etc.

I’m still erring on the side of having soiled duds, but FGR will be looking at 1pt from three games against us, Col U & Sutton in the last 6 weeks and must be thinking they’ve made it much harder for themselves.

Sutton have the best run in but even just 1 point in our 2 in hand would put us 10 clear of them with 7 to play. A single win and we’re 12 clear with a much better GD.

This is such a relief for me; I thought I was the only person left in town who used the word ‘duds’!

Quoted from The Yard Dog

We started our difficult run two games ago and we have already taken 4 points from them, we a different team to the one which lost to Doncaster. On a unbeaten run which will give the team confidence going into the next home game against Wrexham, who are having a bit of a wobble.

Lets pack out the park next week and put a spanner in Wrexham's promotion charge, a win next week will be a massive step towards securing our league status.

UTM

We'll beat Wrexham,unless they're allowed to bring their own match officials.

I ran the calculator and was not generous to us, we did ok, in fact we have enough points already in its forecast

https://www.thefishy.co.uk/calculator0.php?Competition=4

21     Grimsby     46     -29     42
22     Colchester     46     -27     40
23     Forest Green     46     -34     36
24     Sutton Utd     46     -33     35

Quoted from RonMariner

You really think we will struggle to get six points?  

Look at our recent away record. Draws at the teams currently in 7th, 9th and 12th.

And a home win against the team in 4th. I certainly think we can beat Swindon and Bradford at home and get a few away points too. It would not surprise me at all if we beat Wrexham next weekend.

I would LOVE IT, LOVE IT if we beat Hollywood FC.