Can we make the Playoffs? Some stats.

I have us away at Solihull too.

The average points total for 7th is very consistent
Between 71-76 from 2010/11 to 2018/19
Outlier was 67pts in 2012/13

Based on history between 9-12pts should see us in the play offs; this of course implies we could lose a couple... but teams around us will as well

History doesn't lie - bit like batting/bowling averages - and is a good indicator of what is needed

Very confident we will make play offs

Quoted from devs

The average points total for 7th is very consistent
Between 71-76 from 2010/11 to 2018/19
Outlier was 67pts in 2012/13

Based on history between 9-12pts should see us in the play offs; this of course implies we could lose a couple... but teams around us will as well

History doesn't lie - bit like batting/bowling averages - and is a good indicator of what is needed

Very confident we will make play offs

What complicates matters is that Notts County have the easiest run-in imaginable and may very well not lose any of their remaining games, whilst Boreham Wood and Bromley both have an extra 9 points to play for to make up their 4 and 8 point deficit respectively.

Fortunately Boreham Wood have a difficult run-in and have to play 7 of the current top 10. From our perspective, our final home game against them could yet play out like a play-off game itself.

Bromley do have 8 points to catch-up on, which is a big ask,  but also a fair few games that they ought to win. They look the most unpredictable of the lot, but it’s helpful that they have to play Boreham Wood. We should keep ahead of them.

Clawing back sufficient ground on Solihull and Chesterfield is a big ask, though Chesterfield do have a tough run in whilst Solihull have four away games on the bounce, starting tonight. Three of them are against the current top 3 in Stockport, Halifax and Wrexham.

It’s all very nuanced, but I think the situation will be a lot clearer come the evening of Easter Monday. As things stand, I wouldn’t swap circumstances with anyone outside the top - possession is nine tenths of the law.

Quoted from MuddyWaters

I have us away at Solihull too.

Dear god no, that's the worst possible tie for me. Even worse than away at Wrexham.

Well we are in a play off spot now and don't have the hardest of run ins of the top 7, so no reason why we can't at least keep what we have.

The proviso being that despite our very good recent run, it's taken an age to climb a couple of spots, which tells you that the top 7 are all picking up plenty of points.

One team usually bombs at the end of the season and drops out. It's looking like Chesterfield at the moment if they don't get their act together.

Quoted from Son of Cod

Dear god no, that's the worst possible tie for me. Even worse than away at Wrexham.

It's only Solihull, but they were good weren't they?

Bromley lost again tonight. That's just 2 points from their last 7 games. I think they are fading fast.  Now 8 points behind with two games in hand an an inferior goal diff.

Our other main rival for a play off spot, Boreham, got a good point at Dagenham tonight, but they are only averaging a point game over the last seven games and of course we play them at BP. Depriving Dagenham of two points might not be a bad thing either, I though they might come in with a late run, but they are now 6 points behind us with no games in hand.

So tonight's results are good for us.  

The calculator is going to change every game. How many of the predictions were right tonight ? One , maybe 2 ?

Notts County may have a very easy run-in on paper.  As Bromley found out tonight, it is easy to lose against a team well below you. And if you are complacent in any way.

As an example that cost Leeds promotion, they were playing Wigan who were bottom.  Everybody expected Leeds to win.  Wigan went down to 10 men for most of the game at Elland Road - and then beat Leeds.

Quoted from RonMariner

Bromley lost again tonight. That's just 2 points from their last 7 games. I think they are fading fast.  Now 8 points behind with two games in hand an an inferior goal diff.

Our other main rival for a play off spot, Boreham, got a good point at Dagenham tonight, but they are only averaging a point game over the last seven games and of course we play them at BP. Depriving Dagenham of two points might not be a bad thing either, I though they might come in with a late run, but they are now 6 points behind us with no games in hand.

So tonight's results are good for us.  

Even better, the chase for a play-off place is entirely in our own hands now with Boreham Wood having to visit Town.