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Can we make the Playoffs? Some stats.

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Grantham_Mariner
March 14, 2022, 9:24am

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If (when) we play Chestefield or Wrexam away in play off semi final what will our allocation be? The same as it would have been for a league match, or higher like you get in an FA Cup away game?


If the football is bad you can always watch the gulls.
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jamesgtfc
March 14, 2022, 9:29am
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Quoted from Grantham_Mariner
If (when) we play Chestefield or Wrexam away in play off semi final what will our allocation be? The same as it would have been for a league match, or higher like you get in an FA Cup away game?


The Chesterfield away game on 2nd April should give us an indication of what they may or may not give us in the play-offs.
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immariner
March 14, 2022, 10:27am
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Quoted from RonMariner
Ok, so we have clawed ourselves back into the top 7, but can we stay there?

Looking at the last three completed seasons in the National League, the team in 3rd have averaged 1.8 points per game, and 7th place 1.61. Given the 44 games available this season that would point to a range between 71 points and 79 points to end up in that area of the play off zone.

We currently have 55 points, so taking another 18 would give us 73 points. That might very well be enough to get a play off space.  So can we win another 6 games in our remaining fixtures?


You've considered points per game from previous seasons but not this one. 73 won't be close to enough to get in the play offs, it's going to be close to 80, which is utter madness. That means probably 7 wins minimum with a few draws.
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Zmariner
March 14, 2022, 11:07am
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Unfortunately, I think you are right. There is a chasm between the top teams and the rest of this league and they do not lose many games. I think seven wins in a couple of draws as well. What this means is that as well as beating the stuff below you we will need to beat some of Stockport ,Chesterfield and Borehamwood. I am very hopeful of the playoffs but it is going to need more than just the”flat track bully” points. I liked the look of our bench on Saturday and for the first time in awhile I’m beginning to fancy it.
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FishOutOfWater
March 14, 2022, 1:45pm
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Quoted from lee65
Forgive me if elsewhere on here, but is his how the playoffs work?

4th-7th playoff over one leg, with 4th and 5th having home advantage?, no replay just ET and pens?

The 2 winners then play the 2nd and 3rd place teams, over 2 legs home and away?  ET and pens if all square?, any additional benefit for away goals?


I get that 4 play at home to 7 and that 5 play at home to 6

Who do 2 and 3 then play at home to?

Is it 2 v 4 or 7 with 3 v 5 or 6

Or is it 2 v 5 or 6 with 3 at home to 4 or 7
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Maringer
March 14, 2022, 1:48pm
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Quoted from FishOutOfWater


Or is it 2 v 5 or 6 with 3 at home to 4 or 7



That one, I think. 2nd place then gets the benefit of finishing higher than 3rd place.
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FishOutOfWater
March 14, 2022, 1:50pm
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Quoted from Maringer


That one, I think. 2nd place then gets the benefit of finishing higher than 3rd place.


That's what I suspected....

I was trying to think back to the play off games I watched last season but couldn't remember them all.... getting old  
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Les Brechin
March 14, 2022, 2:02pm

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Format....

Quarter finals..

Match A : 4th v 7th
Match B : 5th v 6th

Semi finals...

2nd place v winner of Match B
3rd place v winner of Match A

All one-off games. Not sure if there is ET though or if it goes straight to pens if level at 90 mins,


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jamesgtfc
March 14, 2022, 2:29pm
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Quoted from Les Brechin
Format....

Quarter finals..

Match A : 4th v 7th
Match B : 5th v 6th

Semi finals...

2nd place v winner of Match B
3rd place v winner of Match A

All one-off games. Not sure if there is ET though or if it goes straight to pens if level at 90 mins,


I believe it's extra time. The Championship and League 2 finish on 7th May but League 1 finishes a week earlier on 30th April.

Our league season finishes 15th May so we should get "better" referees for the play-offs shouldn't we?
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diehardmariner
March 14, 2022, 3:02pm
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Whilst it is something that will go against us (should we get there via any other place than 2nd or 3rd), this feels a much fairer approach to the play-offs.

Over two legs, I've never really thought there's any advantage to playing at home either first or second, even more so without the away goals rule.  So it seems slightly unfair that a team in the first play-off spot could finish absolutely miles ahead of the team in one of the final spots, yet have absolutely no advantage in the play-off games.  
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