Bottom 4's Projected Points and Form

Quoted from Marinerdeano

There could be a scenario where we play Colchester with 2 games to go after that knowing that a draw would enable survival for both teams! Now if that would be the case that would be worth a big bet! In reality I'd hope we would be fine by then.

I don't think that will happen, I think it'll be a dead rubber for both teams. That is game 10 of our remaining 12 games - FGR and Sutton will have 2 games remaining as well and could be already gone.

The only thing at stake will be who finishes 3rd and 4th from bottom.

FGR's run-in is horrific.  

Walsall (7th)
Bradford (15th)
Sutton (24th)
Donny (20th)
Stockport (2nd )
Crewe (4th)
MK Dons (5th)
Mansfield (1st )
Wrexham (3rd )
Morecambe (8th)
Notts County (14th)

Stockport right through to Morecambe is particularly bad.  For the final day County are only 7 points off the play-offs with a game in hand (same as Bradford next Tues.  Probably only the Donny game against someone with nothing, or very little, to play for.

Colchester only seem able to draw but they too aren't playing many who might already be on the beach.  Tranmere perhaps in addition to Donny.

Barrow (6th)
Donny (20th)
Walsall (7th)
Mansfield (1st )
Newport (12th)
Tranmere (18th)
Wrexham (3rd )
Stockport (2nd )
Crawley (11th)
Town (21st)
Notts County (14th)
Crewe (4th)

They get their bottom in gear and Sutton have got Accrington, Salford, Swindon, Harrogate and at that stage potentially Crawley who won't have anything to play for.

Of course football doesn't work out that way, especially at this time of year.

Quoted from Hagrid

I hope colchester drop tbh, soulless dump of a stadium, The Cowleys, and they're millions and millions in debt

I’d rather Sutton and FGR go , they don’t offer anything to this league and have never brought more than a couple of dozen fans to our place , saying that I can’t remember Colchester ever brining many

Staying up with low 40s points though is still a woeful season, if that's what happens and we should easily have gone down. Next season is going to be a total game changer with the crazy kick off times that have been imposed on fans. We need to get off to a better start.

I think the Sutton game is as important as the FGR game last week. They're obviously crap but they're capable of picking up the odd result (Notts County) and will see this game as their last chance to give themselves some hope. They've had a free week too so they'll be a little fresher. We definitely need to avoid defeat but a victory would put us in a very strong position heading into the run-in. We just need to average 1 PPG and avoid giving our rivals a helping hand.

Next year is going to be an entirely different ball game for any number of reasons. Not counting my chickens yet, but I hope we’re in the same league. We no longer look like a team in a tailspin thank goodness.

Quoted from MarinerDevil

They've had a free week too so they'll be a little fresher.

I think we can all agree with Cotterill that it is outrageous that we should be expected to play 3 games in just 8 days.

Quoted from GrimRob

Staying up with low 40s points though is still a woeful season, if that's what happens and we should easily have gone down. Next season is going to be a total game changer with the crazy kick off times that have been imposed on fans. We need to get off to a better start.

You’re right Rob but isn’t it akin to what Stevenage did and they even had a certain Danny Rose playing for them when they did it. We know what happened the next season.

Quoted from diehardmariner

FGR's run-in is horrific.  

Walsall (7th)
Bradford (15th)
Sutton (24th)
Donny (20th)
Stockport (2nd )
Crewe (4th)
MK Dons (5th)
Mansfield (1st )
Wrexham (3rd )
Morecambe (8th)
Notts County (14th)

Stockport right through to Morecambe is particularly bad.  For the final day County are only 7 points off the play-offs with a game in hand (same as Bradford next Tues.  Probably only the Donny game against someone with nothing, or very little, to play for.
i

Interesting. I'm more concerned by FGR than Sutton because they seemed to be picking up before they played us. They are 5 points adrift of Colchester (plus goal difference) and I can't see them getting more than 7 points from this run of games.

Loads of variables but this account is projecting safety to be a measly 39pts. The last 3 games have done wonders for us, Saturday of course the most significant. Agree with Rob though that whatever our total is this season it’s been a shocker.