For now at least
We’ve had bad runs before and Hurst has turned things around.
There was identical talk of dressing room unrest a couple of years ago in a season that finished with one of the tightest group of battlers we’ve ever seen.
We’ve had bad luck with injuries and illness. Less than a week ago we were unable to fill the bench so it’s maybe not surprising some players didn’t look 100% yesterday. Vernam and Wilson were undoubtedly targeted as key players at the start of the season.
The majority of League Two games are turgid affairs. This seems to be more the case than ever with increased physicality meaning most games end up as a war of attrition. Not pretty but most fans have to endure the same at this level.
League Two is considerably stronger than last year. This idea that we have a mega budget is fanciful compared to lots of other teams. With all their talk of sustainability the idea that the owners would go sh1t or bust with the fa cup money I find hard to believe.
He’s been let down by some players. Yes it’s his job to get the best out of them but some of the individual errors yesterday were dreadful. Players that have served him well in the past have not been at their best.
Out last 3 league games have been W D L. Not as catastrophic as some are making out. I think people’s personal dislike of Hurst has clouded judgement on how likely he is to go at this point. I think he’s got at least 3 more games to turn it around. For the record if he’s given more time that’s because the owners feel it’s right. Sometimes it takes more balls to not sack a manager.
I’ve attempted a few drafts, which included some of your points, but mine was too long, even for me, so I scrapped it and had a wānk…
1. Previous poor runs Agree with your points. Posters on here have claimed two or three times in past seasons that Hurst had ‘lost the dressing room’. Every time that was proved to be false (21/22 and that passionate draw against Halifax stands out, against a backdrop of similar comments). Body language experts have moaned about goal celebrations in previous seasons (e.g. Taylor not celebrating Hunt’s goal) - it means nothing, you should never trust a badge kisser anyway.
The caveat would be that, even in previous poor spells, it was clear to all but the most radical Hurst haters that the team were still playing for him and fully committed.
I’m not saying that isn’t the case now but I can understand the concerns (Waterfall’s cowardly second yellow yesterday, Holohan and other midfielders not tracking runners, Glennon turning his back and day dreaming against Crawley and Eastwood’s spineless goalkeeping in the same match).
2. General standard of L2 Despite the money floating around in L2 the quality of the football still isn’t great. It’s improved since our previous spells at this level but most matches are turgid. Wrexham and Notts Co have a lot of firepower, which is currently compensating for their porous defences. Mansfield were decent to watch, Barrow too but they still lost and are only 2 points above us.
Pre-season, I thought there were probably 16 sides with fans who expected promotion or play-offs at a minimum. That’s been borne out by the sackings of Hughes and Harris and teams taking points off one another. It wouldn’t surprise me if 70 pts, or even late 60s could be enough to make the play-offs. Sadly, I don’t see is getting near that and didn’t pre-season.
3. Players’ fault?Having said you shouldn’t read much into goal celebrations (or players being annoyed at being subbed), it’s usually more helpful to analyse reactions to goals conceded. We’re getting plenty of practice at the moment.
You can understand players making mistakes - that’s forgivable. But most of the past 13 goals we’ve let in have been due to players being lazy of mind and lazy of body. The senior players should be laying into their teammates but they can’t because they most to blame for the goals.
Yes, Hurst recruited most of them, picks the team and tactics but there are a few worrying signs. The players better had still be giving 100% or they should be getting some shït in the future, even if Hurst does leave.
4. Other pointsWe’ve now conceded 13 goals in the last 6 league matches. I don’t think we will go down if Hurst stays but we will if we continue to defend like this as a team. Notts County and Wrexham are conceding at close to 2 goals per match but they have the firepower to get themselves out of trouble (whether that’s sustainable for them is an another matter).
The decision to sign a raw, inexperienced back up goalkeeper is looking iffy. Eastwood should have been dropped after that Crawley match but Hurst couldn’t because Cartwright isn’t ready yet
We made signings early and had a full pre-season to work on fitness, formations, set pieces, tactics, general play, marking, penalties, squad morale etc. Based on the evidence, this time appears to have been wasted. Paul Hurst works very hard but I don’t know what the players have been doing all summer.
I’m not sure what the problem is with Glennon, whether it’s mental, physical, homesickness, exposed tactically or whether he is actually just crap. I had hoped that, with a full summer to work on him, Hurst could improve Glennon. From the outside, it looks like we left it too late in the window to try to find a replacement.
Playing Maher at RB in the Scab Trophy and then starting Waterfall yesterday appears, again from the outside, as odd. Even more so in light of Clair Maher’s now deleted tweet.
Results in the last 3 have been ok. 4 points from 3 isn’t awful. It’s certainly not great but it would keep you away from relegation. Golly’s wider sample looks grimmer but the season ppg of 1.08 would see us safe but underwhelmed / apoplectic (or somewhere in the middle)
ConclusionI don’t like sacking managers, particularly not someone as respected within the industry as Hurst. I like him a person and as a fellow small, cautious, man in a world of lanky wànkers, I do have a bias towards him.
I think Hurst deserves more time. I hope he is given it and he can pull us up the table.
We probably need 1.7 ppg to make the playoffs. Not many Town managers have managed that sort of consistency over the past 20 years so I think any hope of the playoffs, or even keeping them in reach to give us something to play for, are probably dead, regardless of manager. It’s all about survival and a cup run now!
We really do need to start defending better though. I’m not expecting much against Stockport. I can envisage a thrashing away at Forest Green at the end of Nov before a do or die 6 pointer against Sutton.
If we’re in actual trouble by that stage, S&P really will have a decision to make.
Actually…that’s still a bit long. Sorry. Should have that second tug instead.