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National League at risk

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DB
February 13, 2021, 11:15pm
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Depending upon your faith in statistics we may not need the NL to help us out. Hursty, on his own, has 44% win rate and 26% draw rate which equates 8 wins and 5 draws from our remaining 19 games giving 29 points.

On a thread it was suggest that 50 point is the magic number, so 21 points we have and the 29 will give us the 50. Now I don't know where the wins will come from but it gives some hope if you like statistics.


You can please some of the forumites some of the time but not all the forumites all of the time
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Swansea_Mariner
February 13, 2021, 11:30pm
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Dover furlough confirmed, national league now down to 22 teams

[url]https://www.kentonline.co.uk/dover/sport/dover-and-out-we-cant-play-anymore-242471/[/url]

I assume this means all the results from their existing games will have to be expunged.
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DB
February 13, 2021, 11:39pm
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Quoted from Swansea_Mariner
Dover furlough confirmed, national league now down to 22 teams

[url]https://www.kentonline.co.uk/dover/sport/dover-and-out-we-cant-play-anymore-242471/[/url]

I assume this means all the results from their existing games will have to be expunged.



Tip of the iceberg !



You can please some of the forumites some of the time but not all the forumites all of the time
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dapperz fun pub
February 14, 2021, 12:07am
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Quoted from Swansea_Mariner
Dover furlough confirmed, national league now down to 22 teams

[url]https://www.kentonline.co.uk/dover/sport/dover-and-out-we-cant-play-anymore-242471/[/url]

I assume this means all the results from their existing games will have to be expunged.


Kings Lynn to follow
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arryarryarry
February 14, 2021, 1:12am
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Quoted from DB
Depending upon your faith in statistics we may not need the NL to help us out. Hursty, on his own, has 44% win rate and 26% draw rate which equates 8 wins and 5 draws from our remaining 19 games giving 29 points.

On a thread it was suggest that 50 point is the magic number, so 21 points we have and the 29 will give us the 50. Now I don't know where the wins will come from but it gives some hope if you like statistics.


I really hope you are right but for the past couple of months you have been saying we will win the next game
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GYinScuntland
February 14, 2021, 1:29am

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I think football as we used to know it is finished for ever.
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Vance Warner
February 14, 2021, 7:28am
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Not sure if the Dover news is good for us or not. It’s less fixtures to complete and one less vote in favour of stopping the season. How many clubs would need to pull out before the integrity of the conference was compromised enough to not allow promotion and relegation to the league? Either way it looks like our world famous pyramid is collapsing.
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ska face
February 14, 2021, 7:45am

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Surely they are still afforded a vote, they’re not being removed from the league and I suspect they won’t be as others will be in the same boat. Another 3,4,5 teams do this and you’re then looking at those on the fence, leaning towards continuing but with slim promotion hopes. Are they going to continue with a league where a handful of teams have dropped out?
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Mikey_345
February 14, 2021, 7:48am
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Quoted from Swansea_Mariner
Dover furlough confirmed, national league now down to 22 teams

[url]https://www.kentonline.co.uk/dover/sport/dover-and-out-we-cant-play-anymore-242471/[/url]

I assume this means all the results from their existing games will have to be expunged.


Doesn’t take many (3/4?) of these to make the league unviable.

Even if majority want to continue a couple downing tools damages the integrity of the league.


All Town aren’t we

@GTFCLondon

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mariner91
February 14, 2021, 8:39am
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You'd have to expect anyone from 12th place down to realistically be thinking privately that they have virtually no chance of promotion so does it make sense for the long term viability of their club to continue this season? On top of that you've got smaller clubs like Eastleigh, Boreham Wood and Maidenhead who still have an outside chance of promotion but is it worth chasing that very slim opportunity if it means saddling yourself with a debt which may well stop you having that opportunity again in the next five years or so? The top 5 are all clearly going to vote to continue but despite what many chairmen are saying publicly I bet deep down reality is that it makes no sense to continue.

That's before you start looking at what might happen if the NLN and NLS stop meaning no relegation. You'd be raging if your promotion rival hammered Yeovil's youth team and you'd dropped points to the first team a month ago.
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