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Relegation Odds

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Lincoln Mariner 56
January 2, 2024, 1:22pm
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Quoted from ginnywings


Probably based on current form and would be different odds after another 6 games. Bookies look at patterns, and Swindon are in freefall at the moment, having lost 5 of their last 6.

Surprisingly, we are solidly mid table in the form guide over the last 6 games, sitting in 14th.

It's weird in League 2 this season, with form going up and down all over the place. Apart from the top 3 or 4 teams, all the others are losing games regularly. Tranmere are currently flying up the league, but have lost more games than we have.

We don't turn enough draws into wins in the main.



Swindon have also had two forwards, Young and Kemp, recalled by their parent clubs and losing Young in particular will be a massive blow, bit like us if we lost Rose.
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ginnywings
January 2, 2024, 1:40pm

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Quoted from Lincoln Mariner 56



Swindon have also had two forwards, Young and Kemp, recalled by their parent clubs and losing Young in particular will be a massive blow, bit like us if we lost Rose.



Yeah, that's a factor too.

Just had a look at a longer term form guide over the last 12 games and Swindon are second bottom, with only Salford doing worse.

Over the last 10 games, since PH was canned, we sit 14th in the form guide, suggesting that things are not as dire as some fans fear.
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oochiad
January 2, 2024, 1:43pm
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As we know performances such as Salford, Crewe etc are possible I don’t think we’ll be relegated.
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diehardmariner
January 2, 2024, 2:16pm
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Yeah I think Swindon losing Young and Kemp is massive for them, although there's a big gap to be made up on them from a really low bar below them.

Swindon have got to play a fair few of those below them in the coming weeks but I don't really see anyone, including ourselves, getting sucked into the bottom four.

We'll be fine.  We'll have some more Crewe/Salford days and I dare say we'll have a couple more like yesterday too, it's a process and there's no way we're going to deviate from it.  It's going to be bumpy and it'll test patience.  I think Artell was probably wrong to state that we won't go down, but he's not wrong and if there's any season to write off and use it as an extended pre-season/time to develop things then this is the one.
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HerveJosse
January 3, 2024, 11:30am
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Quoted from IlkleyMariner
Do the odds on Swindon suggest they may get a point’s penalty for inappropriate actions?
If not can’t understand their odds


Swindon are in under investigation by EFL in respect of ‘various matters’. Was announced in September
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LocalLadGTFC
January 3, 2024, 1:15pm
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Quoted from IlkleyMariner
Do the odds on Swindon suggest they may get a point’s penalty for inappropriate actions?
If not can’t understand their odds


They've just lost there best player and have no money at all. They're in free fall as-well as the investigation looming over there heads.
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Son of Cod
January 3, 2024, 2:03pm
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Quoted from Lincoln Mariner 56



Swindon have also had two forwards, Young and Kemp, recalled by their parent clubs and losing Young in particular will be a massive blow, bit like us if we lost Rose.


I'd argue that Kemp is the bigger loss. Much better player than Young from what I've seen. Young obviously knows where the net is but his form is streaky and he's a bit of a carthorse, the latter of which isn't necessarily a bad thing in L2 but Kemp would walk into every side in the division and will play higher.
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IlkleyMariner
January 3, 2024, 2:16pm
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Kemp got a hat trick playing for Hartlepool against us last Good Friday
Looked one heck of a player that day
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Abdul19
January 3, 2024, 4:02pm

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Quoted from IlkleyMariner
Do the odds on Swindon suggest they may get a point’s penalty for inappropriate actions?
If not can’t understand their odds


Yep. Some bookies have taken Swindon's odds off site.


JESUS AT THE CENTRE
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Croxton
January 3, 2024, 4:27pm
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Morecambe are six points ahead of us with a game in hand but face charges for late payment of wages. An initial three points deduction may be followed by further measures if they lose the case.

https://www.efl.com/news/2023/december/18/efl-statement--morecambe-football-club
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