Southampton goalkeepers

Statistically speaking, Southampton's first-choice keeper, Gavin Bazunu, is having the worst season for a goalkeeper in the history
of the Premier League. (Stats given/explained later)

This performance for Portsmouth may have persuaded the Saints to sign him up:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GgU0nNPq-O8

though it's difficult to see why...  

The second-worst ever season for a goalkeeper - according to these stats - was Southampton's current second choice keeper,
Alex McCarthy, which he achieved last season.

Their third-choice keeper, Willy Caballero, is now 41 years of age.

And it would be seriously remiss of me not to mention the incomparable Tommy Fourpast in passing.

So Paul Hurst's team talk might be brief - "shoot on sight".


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The Stats >>>
The best way to judge keepers statistically is post-shot expected goals, as it actually takes into account the level of the shot being taken. If a player scores from 40 yards from a shot of 0.01 xG, it doesn't reflect properly on the fact that a keeper has a far larger chance than 0.01 of saving it. Bazunu has a PSxG of -11.1, which means statistically he's conceded 41 goals where the expectation is just 25.9. The most interesting thing about that to me is the fact that 25.9 is actually the 6th lowest in the league, behind just Newcastle, City, Arsenal, Brighton and United. 5 teams who are a million miles further up the league than we are. This indicates that we haven't been terrible defensively this season, we've just been drastically let down by a goalkeepers underperformance. For comparison to the rest of the league, the next worst is Leeds (Meslier) at -5.8.

It's actually statistically the worst season by a goalkeeper in Premier League history. Bazunu has also made 54 saves in the league, with only Arsenal, Brighton and City's keepers making less. This has him at a 55% save rate, meaning he's now almost conceding a goal for any save he has to make. We have had 92 shots on target against us, which again is within the top 5 of the league. The argument here could be that our defenders are constantly leaving him in situations where he's not able to make the saves, but that's why the PSxG number above disproves that point.

TLDR - statistically we are within the top 5 fewest chances and shots on target faced each game, but Bazunu's underperformance is both the worst in the league by almost double, and the worst the PL has seen.

[img]https://media3.giphy.com/media/j6uK36y32LxQs/giphy.gif[/img]

Tommy Forecast, fukin el