Welcome, Guest.
Please login or register.
Fishy Forum Fishy Boards Non Football › Conservatives win Hartlepool by-election
Moderators: Moderator
Users Browsing Forum
No Members and 18 Guests

Conservatives win Hartlepool by-election

  This thread currently has 2,444 views. Print
4 Pages Prev 1 2 3 4 Next All Recommend Thread
ska face
May 7, 2021, 8:21pm

Special Brew Drinker
Posts: 7,604
Posts Per Day: 1.24
Reputation: 80.94%
Rep Score: +60 / -14
Approval: +23,568
Gold Stars: 936
Sort out the mess? He’s gone BACKWARDS from 2019 after imposing a full-on second referendum remain headbanger on one of the most pro-Brexit constituencies in the country. He ended up with a third of the vote that the “loony left” delivered in 2017.

This absolutely insane rewriting of history will only end in Labour going the same way as all their sister parties across Europe. In the bin.

Meanwhile, the loony left Preston Labour held every one of their 30 seats and overall control of the council, and Andy Burnham who actively opposed the Tories looks set for a landslide victory.
Logged
Private Message
Reply: 10 - 31
GollyGTFC
May 7, 2021, 8:42pm

Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 4,194
Posts Per Day: 0.71
Reputation: 68.01%
Rep Score: +20 / -11
Approval: +5,779
Gold Stars: 411
Quoted from ska face
Sort out the mess? He’s gone BACKWARDS from 2019 after imposing a full-on second referendum remain headbanger on one of the most pro-Brexit constituencies in the country. He ended up with a third of the vote that the “loony left” delivered in 2017.

This absolutely insane rewriting of history will only end in Labour going the same way as all their sister parties across Europe. In the bin.


Really?

Projected Popular votes at UK local elections for Labour Party...

Ed Milliband
2011 - 37%
2012 - 38%
2013 - 29%
2014 - 31%
2015 - 29%
Jeremy Corbyn
2016 - 31%
2017 - 27%
2018 - 35%
2019 - 28%
Keir Starmer
2021 - 29-30% (projected)

So Labour has actually marginally improved on the results delived by JC in 2019.
Logged Online
Private Message Twitter
Reply: 11 - 31
KingstonMariner
May 7, 2021, 9:06pm
Meths Drinker
Posts: 22,096
Posts Per Day: 5.76
Reputation: 79.33%
Rep Score: +42 / -11
Approval: +23,442
Gold Stars: 218
Quoted from GollyGTFC
Con vote went up 23%. Brexit/Reform vote went down 24.6%.

Lab vote went down 9%. An independent who is a prominent local businesswoman & former journalist took 9.7%.

If you drill down into the results centre & left candidates got a slightly higher % of the vote than in 2019.

The simple lesson is if you have only 1 viable right wing option & multiple left wing (Lab, LD, Green & independent) then the obvious happens and the right wing candidate wins.

With Hartlepool you have to factor in the previous Labour MP & the nature of his resignation- sexual misconduct allegations. You have to ask whether it was a good idea to pick another white middle aged man. It was probably crying out for a female 30 something candidate.

And Keir Starmer...

He has a huge job. He has to tackle the loony left, set out a proper modern vision about what a 21st century Labour Party and try and reconnect with voters in the towns of the North East, East Midlands & West Midlands. Oh and try and make an impact in Scotland.

It might end up that he is to Corbyn what Neil Kinnock was to Michael Foot. Sorting out the mess and falling short himself but leaving the party in a better position than he inherited so the next leader can win a general election.


That’s if you assume the Lib Dem’s are centre left. They helped put Cameron into office.


Through the door there came familiar laughter,
I saw your face and heard you call my name.
Oh my friend we're older but no wiser,
For in our hearts the dreams are still the same.
Logged Offline
Private Message
Reply: 12 - 31
ska face
May 7, 2021, 9:09pm

Special Brew Drinker
Posts: 7,604
Posts Per Day: 1.24
Reputation: 80.94%
Rep Score: +60 / -14
Approval: +23,568
Gold Stars: 936
Quoted from GollyGTFC


Really?

Projected Popular votes at UK local elections for Labour Party...

Ed Milliband
2011 - 37%
2012 - 38%
2013 - 29%
2014 - 31%
2015 - 29%
Jeremy Corbyn
2016 - 31%
2017 - 27%
2018 - 35%
2019 - 28%
Keir Starmer
2021 - 29-30% (projected)

So Labour has actually marginally improved on the results delived by JC in 2019.


I was clearly referring to the appalling Hartlepool result, if you want to act performatively dim.
Logged
Private Message
Reply: 13 - 31
GollyGTFC
May 7, 2021, 9:21pm

Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 4,194
Posts Per Day: 0.71
Reputation: 68.01%
Rep Score: +20 / -11
Approval: +5,779
Gold Stars: 411
Quoted from ska face


I was clearly referring to the appalling Hartlepool result, if you want to act performatively dim.


Less than 30,000 people voted in Hartlepool by-election. If you want to focus solely on one by-election and not on the results on nationwide local elections where Labour increased their vote marginally that's your choice.

Out of interest, what's your opinion on Labour's improved local election results on the calamitous 7% drop in 2019?
Logged Online
Private Message Twitter
Reply: 14 - 31
GrimRob
May 7, 2021, 11:07pm

Moderator
Posts: 12,919
Posts Per Day: 2.09
Reputation: 69.92%
Rep Score: +76 / -34
Approval: +13,949
Gold Stars: 148
Quoted from GollyGTFC


Less than 30,000 people voted in Hartlepool by-election. If you want to focus solely on one by-election and not on the results on nationwide local elections where Labour increased their vote marginally that's your choice.

Out of interest, what's your opinion on Labour's improved local election results on the calamitous 7% drop in 2019?


The thing is it's mid-term, the government are meant to lose by-elections once the honeymoon has worn off.


'Tis better to have loved and lost than never to have loved at all.  
~ Alfred Lord Tennyson

Logged Offline
Site Private Message Twitter
Reply: 15 - 31
DB
May 7, 2021, 11:25pm
Meths Drinker
Posts: 21,036
Posts Per Day: 14.90
Reputation: 58.95%
Rep Score: +14 / -13
Approval: +4,301
Gold Stars: 423
Labour haven't done well in our local council elections so perhaps what has happened to them in Hartlepool is also the same here locally.

Nationally labour has lost about 186 councillors, and as Rob points out the tory honeymoon is over. Labour should have done a lot better and obviously have serious problems.


You can please some of the forumites some of the time but not all the forumites all of the time
Logged Offline
Private Message
Reply: 16 - 31
GollyGTFC
May 8, 2021, 9:08am

Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 4,194
Posts Per Day: 0.71
Reputation: 68.01%
Rep Score: +20 / -11
Approval: +5,779
Gold Stars: 411
Quoted from GrimRob


The thing is it's mid-term, the government are meant to lose by-elections once the honeymoon has worn off.


We all know these aren't normal times.
Logged Online
Private Message Twitter
Reply: 17 - 31
KingstonMariner
May 8, 2021, 9:23am
Meths Drinker
Posts: 22,096
Posts Per Day: 5.76
Reputation: 79.33%
Rep Score: +42 / -11
Approval: +23,442
Gold Stars: 218
It was a very low turnout in Hartlepool. 32% I think. It might be that lots of Labour voters simply stayed at home.

There’s also local factors at play. Hasn’t there been some scandals involving Labour councillors?


Through the door there came familiar laughter,
I saw your face and heard you call my name.
Oh my friend we're older but no wiser,
For in our hearts the dreams are still the same.
Logged Offline
Private Message
Reply: 18 - 31
LH
May 8, 2021, 12:53pm

Moderator
Posts: 11,637
Posts Per Day: 1.88
Reputation: 71.54%
Rep Score: +30 / -13
Approval: +19,026
Gold Stars: 187
Quoted from KingstonMariner
It was a very low turnout in Hartlepool. 32% I think. It might be that lots of Labour voters simply stayed at home.

There’s also local factors at play. Hasn’t there been some scandals involving Labour councillors?


Hasn’t there been some sort of scandal involving Tory councillors around NEL?
Logged
Private Message
Reply: 19 - 31
4 Pages Prev 1 2 3 4 Next All Recommend Thread
Print

Fishy Forum Fishy Boards Non Football › Conservatives win Hartlepool by-election

Thread Rating
There is currently no rating for this thread
 

Back to top of page

This is not an official forum of Grimsby Town Football Club, the opinions expressed are those of the individual authors. If you see an offensive post then click "Report" on the relevant post. Posts will be deleted at the discretion of the moderators whose decision is final. Posts should abide by the Forum Rules. IP addresses of contributors together with dates and times of access are stored. The opinions and viewpoints expressed by contributors to The Fishy are their own and not necessarily those of The Fishy. The Fishy makes no claims that information dispersed through this forum is accurate or reliable. Also The Fishy cannot be held liable for any statements made by contributors of The Fishy.