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Grimsby now clear favourites for the title

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Les Brechin
October 7, 2015, 9:28am

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Quoted from lukeo
really? how are we favourites?
Cheltenham  seem to be doing well and I'd say there's still not much between us and tranmere. I obviously want us to go up and feel like it's our year but I just find it strange how the tide changes so quickly with the bookies.
in saying that (slightly off subject) it sometimes makes you wonder, did anyone see the odds on the arsenal v man u game? no one call tell me united have ever been that big of odds in the past however many years?


Quite surprising really that Bet365 now have us at 11/4 but have Cheltenham at 7/1.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/national-league/winner


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gtfc98
October 7, 2015, 10:01am
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Quoted from Les Brechin


Quite surprising really that Bet365 now have us at 11/4 but have Cheltenham at 7/1.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/national-league/winner


They've obviously noticed that Cheltenham have Harry Pell and Danny Parslow in their side. Must just be a blip. Expect them to finish mid table.


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GrimRob
October 7, 2015, 11:45am

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Cheltenham definitely the value bet IMHO


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highcliff mariner
October 7, 2015, 12:35pm
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Quoted from GrimRob
Cheltenham definitely the value bet IMHO


Only if they win it ?
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carrot top
October 7, 2015, 12:45pm

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I expect it to be a 4 way scrap between us, Forest Green, Tranmere and Cheltenham. Anybody's out of the 4 really. A good run by any of them now could put them in the box seat


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GrimRob
October 7, 2015, 12:53pm

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Quoted from highcliff mariner


Only if they win it ?


Not really. Let's say you put a bet on Cheltenham to win the league and the price shortens considerably. You then can use your potential winnings to back other teams around them and bet on them to win the league. The idea is you win whatever happens. That's what I did and am still doing on this year's Baseball and I am developing a position in several long-term foootball markets. You need to start with a bet which is "value", i.e. a price you think will shorten over time.


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barralad
October 7, 2015, 10:52pm
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Quoted from GrimRob


Not really. Let's say you put a bet on Cheltenham to win the league and the price shortens considerably. You then can use your potential winnings to back other teams around them and bet on them to win the league. The idea is you win whatever happens. That's what I did and am still doing on this year's Baseball and I am developing a position in several long-term foootball markets. You need to start with a bet which is "value", i.e. a price you think will shorten over time.


You need to get out more...


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KingstonMariner
October 8, 2015, 12:44am
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Quoted from GrimRob


Not really. Let's say you put a bet on Cheltenham to win the league and the price shortens considerably. You then can use your potential winnings to back other teams around them and bet on them to win the league. The idea is you win whatever happens. That's what I did and am still doing on this year's Baseball and I am developing a position in several long-term foootball markets. You need to start with a bet which is "value", i.e. a price you think will shorten over time.


Sounds risky using money you haven't got yet (and not guaranteed to get) to bet on something else which is also not guaranteed to win. So if you've misjudged your original "value" bet and it really is an 11:1 shot and it doesn't come home. Yes you might win one of the other teams you've backed but you'd also have to balance that against the stakes on the all other bets which you've lost.

Or have I misunderstood?


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highcliff mariner
October 8, 2015, 7:30am
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Quoted from GrimRob


Not really. Let's say you put a bet on Cheltenham to win the league and the price shortens considerably. You then can use your potential winnings to back other teams around them and bet on them to win the league. The idea is you win whatever happens. That's what I did and am still doing on this year's Baseball and I am developing a position in several long-term foootball markets. You need to start with a bet which is "value", i.e. a price you think will shorten over time.


That's a joke right . ? This time next year an all that ,there is only one eventual winner in that gambling lark .
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DocTower
October 8, 2015, 8:06am
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We loose one game and it will be back to doom and gloom . Mugs game gambling , like you say , only one winner .
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