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 So what do we reckon?
Safe after Colchester? (27 votes)
21.09%
Done after Swindon? (52 votes)
40.62%
Nervy last day? (49 votes)
38.28%
128 Votes Total
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When can we breathe?

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lew chaterleys lover
April 12, 2024, 12:42pm
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Quoted from IlkleyMariner
It’s quite likely that FGR will lose at Wrexham and Sutton at Harrogate. Even if we lose and Colchester win, it will still be

Town 43-43
Colchester 42-41
Sutton 44-39
FGR 44-36

That would leave FGR relegated and Sutton needing to win their last two games and town losing their last three….


Fans can outline any scenario they wish, but anything can still happen, from being comfortably safe to being relegated on the last day, which is partly why football is so popular and exciting apart from us poor sods who are emotionally involved.
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diehardmariner
April 12, 2024, 12:54pm
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Quoted from wiggers
Is there any combination of results Saturday that means Town and Colchester could play out a draw for both to retain league status?


No. Not yet.

Even a Colchester win and Sutton defeat on Saturday means a two point cushion for Colchester with Sutton having a further two games to go.

In terms of scenarios, 2 points from the next games for Town means FGR can only match our points if they win all 3 remaining games.  Defeat for them at the weekend will mean they can't catch us, regardless of our results.

Defeat for Sutton at the weekend would mean they need a draw and win from their final two games to match our current points total.  Again, we pick up a single point and they can't catch us in that scenario.  

Colchester, in theory and on paper, have it in their hands to go above us.  Game in hand and with us to play despite sitting 5 points behind us.  Defeat for them at the weekend leaves them needing 5 points from 4 games (once again, assuming we pick up nothing at Crewe).  If that happens and we play out a draw next Tuesday nothing will have changed other than they're down to 9 points to play for.  They could still overtake us if they pick up 6 points and we pick up nothing.  Assuming we don't pick up anything, two draws and a win would draw them level and by which point their goal difference would be better than ours.

It's going to take an almighty swing for us to get caught into it.  With the exception of Sutton's run of late, there's nothing to suggest anyone is capable of making that happen.
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Mariner Timsky
April 12, 2024, 2:04pm

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I dunno a town defeat on saturday and wins for all 3 below will suck us right back into it -  

However I do think we will lose saturday and only one side below will get a point

But of course a town win would be amazing - can we do it and do the double on Crewe??


Stand Up For The Mariners!!!!!
Stand Up For The Mariners!!!!!
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Heisenberg
April 12, 2024, 2:16pm
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Quoted from Mariner Timsky
I dunno a town defeat on saturday and wins for all 3 below will suck us right back into it -  

However I do think we will lose saturday and only one side below will get a point

But of course a town win would be amazing - can we do it and do the double on Crewe??


Well, we beat Crewe 3 times last season, so we’re their bogey team!
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bawarmy
April 12, 2024, 3:05pm
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I think if we beat Crewe tomorrow, we stay up. What more of an incentive could the manager and players need?
Then we can forget about this God awful season.
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Hagrid
April 12, 2024, 3:18pm

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Quoted from bawarmy
I think if we beat Crewe tomorrow, we stay up. What more of an incentive could the manager and players need?
Then we can forget about this God awful season.


genuinely think we could lose every game and be allright

I dont see FGR or Sutton winning 2 of their remaining 3 games.
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RonMariner
April 12, 2024, 3:27pm

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Quoted from bawarmy
I think if we beat Crewe tomorrow, we stay up. What more of an incentive could the manager and players need?
Then we can forget about this God awful season.


Not so. That would take us to 46 points.

Sutton can still get 48 points, and Colchester 53.

However it would mean FGR can't catch us (they can only get  45 points now) and of course a Sutton defeat at Harrogate would makes us safe if we beat Crewe.
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thornemariner
April 12, 2024, 4:12pm
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Quoted from RonMariner


Not so. That would take us to 46 points.

Sutton can still get 48 points, and Colchester 53.

However it would mean FGR can't catch us (they can only get  45 points now) and of course a Sutton defeat at Harrogate would makes us safe if we beat Crewe.


That would be doing it the easy way! If only.....

Just hoping for a miracle and we can all breathe easier tomorrow.
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Madeleymariner
April 12, 2024, 5:06pm

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Wrexham can as good as guarantee promotion (though not mathematically) if they beat FGR on Saturday so you would think they will go for it. If Crewe beat us tomorrow  they are as good as guaranteed a playoff spot as well (though not mathematically)  so pressure is on them and we can expect they will be going for it, lets hope they bottle it. The rest of the season who knows what will happen down at the bottom, I dont think anyone can predict the results in this league.
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kevikov
April 12, 2024, 6:45pm
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Quoted from RonMariner


Not so. That would take us to 46 points.

Sutton can still get 48 points, and Colchester 53.

However it would mean FGR can't catch us (they can only get  45 points now) and of course a Sutton defeat at Harrogate would makes us safe if we beat Crewe.


psychologically though, us with the massive three points and those below seeing having to better results with so few games left, i think it would effectively kill off the charge.


I was there, the day Bradley Wood scored a 35 yarder!

From the black and white striped shirts
To the fish in the sea
You'll hear us singing
Coz we are Grimsby.

You won't hear us crying
But you'll hear us shout
Coz we are the Grimsby
And this is our chant.......... Grimsby! Grimsby! Grimsby!

     A.S.A.F.A.T.
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