Proper six pointer

Look at the bookmakers odds, 200 to one against. 4 more wins will see us safe.Hartlepool would need to win more than half of their remaining fixtures to go ahead of us. The Northampton win was fantastic. Utm

Quoted from smokey111

Excellent analysis Poojah. I anticipate the last 6-8 games of the season will see us both safe and unable to hit the play offs. Something that we haven't had whilst Hurst has been in sole charge (I think!?).

These games should reveal a lot about his plans for next season. Who is being released. Formations. Who will play the 10 role. Can Taylor give us another season.

If we we use last season’s League Two table as a very rudimentary benchmark, Oldham finished second bottom on 38 points whilst Mansfield finished 7th on 77 (Sutton missing out on the play-offs with 76).

We’d beat Oldham’s tally with a single win between now and the end of the season, whilst reaching 77 would require us to more than double the points total we’ve accrued during our first 28 games with our last 18.

Seasons of course vary and points requirements change, but I think that’s a reasonable argument to suggest we’ll be playing League Two football next season.

I do however think that finishing 13th, or slightly above, is doable. We haven’t finished above 14th since 2006 so that, coupled with having reached the 5th round of the FA Cup at least, would represent tangible progress. Not just to us, but to the wider footballing world.

This group won’t take us down, they’ll not take us up but I think it’s important we finish the season on a good run for several reasons, I’ve said all along we’d finish in between 16th and 12th, considering how broken things had got I’ll take that.

Personally I’d be delighted with 4 points out of the next 2 games.

Our points per game number at the moment is 1.29, carrying on at that average would take us to 59 points for the season.

Compare that to the two current worst in the league (Rochdale 0.66 and Hartlepool 0.84), if they carry on a similar vain they will finish with around 30 points and 38 points respectively.

That would take a huge swing to even be in a relegation battle, let alone to go down.

It’s not ‘must win’ but it’s important insofar as another three points would allow us to play with increasing freedom in the coming months.

I’ve no idea of the stats but I’m pretty sure that we’ve been relegated more than most in the last twenty years so surely a little self inflicted paranoia is understandable?

We're 15 points clear of Rochdale with 4 games in hand with a 20 goal better goal difference. That's one team that ain't catching us. We have games in hand and a far better goal difference than those just above them.

Stop being so bloody negative!!

We will accumulate 55-60 points imo no worries this season like others have said

Top half of the table with a few good performances at home would be nice..

We are in no realistic danger of going down but Harrogate have a good recent away record last three are a win at Carlisle and draws at Hartlepool and Salford so expecting another long night.

Quoted from crusty ole pie

Win tomorrow and we go 10 points clear of 4th from bottom Harrogate lose and the gap dwindles to four points a must not lose match in my eyes

Not that it's going to bother us, but you do realise only the bottom 2 go down?