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National League Promotion & Relegation Calcula

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GollyGTFC
April 4, 2022, 6:08am

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Just had a go on the NL predictor…

1     Stockport
—————————
2     Wrexham
3     FC Halifax
4     Grimsby
5     Notts County
6     Solihull Moors
7     Bromley
—————————
8     Chesterfield
9     Boreham Wood

Which would result in the following play-offs…

Quarter-Finals

Grimsby v Bromley
Notts Co v Solihull Moors

Semi-Finals

Wrexham v Notts Co or Solihull Moors
FC Halifax v Grimsby or Bromley

So I have us facing the 2 biggest thorns in our side this season if we want to reach the Promotion Final.

Sadly for Dover I have them missing out on reaching 0 points.
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lukeo
April 4, 2022, 6:33am
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A bit optimistic!
I did it but us and Solihull were the other way round. Personally don't think we will catch them.
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GollyGTFC
April 4, 2022, 7:01am

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Solihull’s next 4 games include playing the top 3 all away from home. And they finish with Bromley & Dagenham at home and away at Boreham Wood on the final day of the season.

That’s a tough run in.

And 5 of their next 6 are away too. They are unbeaten in their last 13 league games, but their quality is about to be tested.
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HertsGTFC
April 4, 2022, 7:28am

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Quoted from GollyGTFC
Just had a go on the NL predictor…

1     Stockport
—————————
2     Wrexham
3     FC Halifax
4     Grimsby
5     Notts County
6     Solihull Moors
7     Bromley
—————————
8     Chesterfield
9     Boreham Wood

Which would result in the following play-offs…

Quarter-Finals

Grimsby v Bromley
Notts Co v Solihull Moors

Semi-Finals

Wrexham v Notts Co or Solihull Moors
FC Halifax v Grimsby or Bromley

So I have us facing the 2 biggest thorns in our side this season if we want to reach the Promotion Final.

Sadly for Dover I have them missing out on reaching 0 points.


I’d be amazed if Chesterfield finished 8th, still think our highest finish will be 7th.and we’ll be back at Chesterfield.


"Crombie you would have got to that if you weren't such a fat ba%$@rd" - George Kerr, inspiration from the dug out 70s style  
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GrimRob
April 4, 2022, 7:31am

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Hagrid
April 4, 2022, 7:36am

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Not a chance are we finishing ahead of notts with their remaining games
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GollyGTFC
April 4, 2022, 7:45am

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Quoted from Hagrid
Not a chance are we finishing ahead of notts with their remaining games


Maybe, but Notts’ season has been blighted by an inability to string results together and a general lack of consistency.

We’re only 2 points behind them with similar GD (2 worse). Not too far fetched to believe we can finish above them. Realistically every match we have left is winnable.
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GollyGTFC
April 4, 2022, 7:49am

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Quoted from HertsGTFC


I’d be amazed if Chesterfield finished 8th, still think our highest finish will be 7th.and we’ll be back at Chesterfield.


Chesterfield’s have played 10 matches since Tshimanga was injured and have only picked up 12 points (3 wins and 3 draws).

Carry that on and they will end up on around 75 or 76 points. Which I think might well be borderline.
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fishboyUTM
April 4, 2022, 10:47am
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Looks a reasonable assessment. I haven't given up on third, I think we are good enough. I think the astute singings of Jones and Holohan have given us balance we have lacked all season. With forwards such as the underated IMO Ryan Taylor and John Mcatee, creativity from Holohan and Maguire Drew, steel from an in form Harry Clifton and the defensive solidness of any from Pearson, Smith and Waterfall, we have a real chance of getting back to league two and we'll push on this time.
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Poojah
April 4, 2022, 11:48am
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Quoted from GollyGTFC


Chesterfield’s have played 10 matches since Tshimanga was injured and have only picked up 12 points (3 wins and 3 draws).

Carry that on and they will end up on around 75 or 76 points. Which I think might well be borderline.


Tshimanga’s absence is an obvious issue for them, and it’s almost certain that they’d have picked up more points had he been fit. But I don’t think it’s quite as simple as that.

What happened in late January when they effectively sacked James Rowe and went on to replace him with Paul Cook was very unusual. How often do you see a manager sacked when his side is top of the league and in good form? Evidently he got the bullet for non-footballing reasons, but it’s something that hardly ever happens.

Likewise, it’s an odd one for the incoming Paul Cook. Normally when you take on a new job, it’s because the team is failing to meet expectations and and out of form. In that scenario it’s ok to come in, change things up and implement your own philosophy.

But he’s done that when there was already a winning formula in place. He’s changed formation and system to what has worked for him in the past, not what necessarily suits the personnel at his disposal. It’s arrogant and naive, and I think Chesterfield should be concerned about where things are headed for them.

We’re 5 points off them with a game in hand, hitting form and with key players coming back to fitness. Chesterfield are averaging only a point a game on recent form, and their talisman won’t be back for them this season. They still have Halifax, Stockport and Bromley to play, too.

I’m going to put it out there and say that Town will finish ahead of them, which seemed totally out of the question only a few weeks ago.


A smooth sea never made a skillful mariner.
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