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Laying Town using Fibonacci sequence

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paulgtfc
March 13, 2021, 8:58pm
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To the various betting fans on here:

Anyone been doing this? I haven’t but should’ve been. Only had one pair of wins all season haven’t we?

Less than 2/1 to lay Town today on the exchanges. Like the team, a missed opportunity.  Looks like over 3/1 to lay Town Wednesday but if we did win, will we really win 3 or 4 in a row? Really?

Just a case of whether u are comfortable laying ya own team to win and how much you put on it, as losses have to be rolled into future games until we fail to win. Smart money is on getting your bet winnings in on Wednesday or next Sat at latest.  Then repeat. At least with March fixtures, lay bets shouldn’t be too expensive. Not like Exeter away etc etc
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GrimRob
March 13, 2021, 9:34pm

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It's easy with hindsight!


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paulgtfc
March 13, 2021, 10:01pm
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Not your sort of betting Rob, I know u like backing outsiders 😎. That said, backing Town is doing that of course so maybe you should back Town rather than lay Town..
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RonMariner
March 13, 2021, 10:35pm

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Quoted from paulgtfc
To the various betting fans on here:

Anyone been doing this? I haven’t but should’ve been. Only had one pair of wins all season haven’t we?

Less than 2/1 to lay Town today on the exchanges. Like the team, a missed opportunity.  Looks like over 3/1 to lay Town Wednesday but if we did win, will we really win 3 or 4 in a row? Really?

Just a case of whether u are comfortable laying ya own team to win and how much you put on it, as losses have to be rolled into future games until we fail to win. Smart money is on getting your bet winnings in on Wednesday or next Sat at latest.  Then repeat. At least with March fixtures, lay bets shouldn’t be too expensive. Not like Exeter away etc etc


It's all over my head Paul but I gave it a Gold Star just in case!
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Rodley Mariner
March 13, 2021, 10:38pm
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I don't understand this but get enough of an idea to guess that me getting on it now might be our only chance of survival.
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paulgtfc
March 13, 2021, 10:56pm
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Quoted from RonMariner


It's all over my head Paul but I gave it a Gold Star just in case!


It’s top stuff Ron. For those who read Andrew David, he would no doubt agree that Fibonacci would work for this albeit you are effectively betting at odds on and losses can run away with you. Said losses are mitigated by Town’s incompetence which is borne out by one pair of wins all season.  Please correct me if Town did win 3 in a row  
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paulgtfc
March 13, 2021, 10:58pm
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Quoted from Rodley Mariner
I don't understand this but get enough of an idea to guess that me getting on it now might be our only chance of survival.


Good point Rodley.  I do think that myself too  . Needs more than our bankrolling of potential wins to stay up though...
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GrimRob
March 13, 2021, 11:21pm

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Quoted from paulgtfc
Not your sort of betting Rob, I know u like backing outsiders 😎. That said, backing Town is doing that of course so maybe you should back Town rather than lay Town..


This season will be talked about for years by statisticians because it's a perfect experiment to see the effect that the crowd have. Their absence for a whole season, plus VAR in the top divisions, I imagine will have generated a lot of talking points.

I don't bet much these days but at one time I had quite sophisticated models to try and identify bets. I never bothered with staking plans like yours though.

But what works one year quite often doesn't work the next. Laying Liverpool to lose would have been profitable last season and a disaster this season.


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LH
March 13, 2021, 11:40pm

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Quoted from Rodley Mariner
I don't understand this but get enough of an idea to guess that me getting on it now might be our only chance of survival.


Yep. See a group of lads discussing backing a goal in 0-0s after 70mins of Southend and Barrow games this week. Put £20 on the Southend match today. Where do I sign up to bet on Town being relegated?!
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cannylad68
March 14, 2021, 8:24am
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Too late now.

I took 4/1 with BetVictor and layed at 1.3.
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