I'm no betting man but I did notice that NAC Breda are 40/1 to beat Ajax away this weekend with Bet365. Two sides in the same division. Admittedly, Ajax are 6 points off top and NAC are 7 points from safety but would you say there is value in that bet? I'd have thought if the game was played 40 times, NAC would have a fighting chance of sneaking a couple of smash and grabs. What are you thoughts?

As a little comparison- Newport, 3 divisions and 70-odd places below, are 28/1 to beat Man City.

I agree with you except you can get 60/1 with Betfair Sportsbook. Most people give themselves no chance of winning if they restrict themselves to one bookie. I think the markets generally overback favourites.