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We're in the play-offs

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Poojah
May 11, 2022, 9:49pm
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Quoted from buckstown
1-0 Stockport at FT so one point needed from Sundays game against Halifax


Not as easy as it sounds. Of all the teams I’d want to play under the circumstances of both sides, Halifax would be bottom of the list. Realistically, they need a win as much as Stockport need a draw.

Going to be a very interesting final day.


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LH
May 11, 2022, 10:05pm

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Quoted from Poojah


Not as easy as it sounds. Of all the teams I’d want to play under the circumstances of both sides, Halifax would be bottom of the list. Realistically, they need a win as much as Stockport need a draw.

Going to be a very interesting final day.


Looking at the fixtures I’m even more pleased we confirmed our place in the play offs last night. There is a lot riding on the games at Dagenham, Chesterfield and Stockport. Our finishing position isn’t certain just yet (although highly unlikely we’ll move from 6th).
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immariner
May 11, 2022, 11:00pm
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Quoted from LH


Looking at the fixtures I’m even more pleased we confirmed our place in the play offs last night. There is a lot riding on the games at Dagenham, Chesterfield and Stockport. Our finishing position isn’t certain just yet (although highly unlikely we’ll move from 6th).


I don't really feel like "highly unlikely" reflects rhe situation. Would only take a 1-0 defeat for us and a 3-0 win for Chesterfield against a Woking side who, although only 1 point worse off away from home than us, havie nothing to play for collectively. I'd put it at 25% chance if we put out a much weakened side
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Poojah
May 11, 2022, 11:26pm
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Quoted from immariner


I don't really feel like "highly unlikely" reflects rhe situation. Would only take a 1-0 defeat for us and a 3-0 win for Chesterfield against a Woking side who, although only 1 point worse off away from home than us, havie nothing to play for collectively. I'd put it at 25% chance if we put out a much weakened side


There are nine scenarios in terms of result combinations, and only one can result in us dropping from 6th place, and even that requires a 4 goal GD swing. In probability terms we’re talking somewhere between a 5% and 12% of us finishing 7th. It’s pretty remote.


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Sconeboy
May 12, 2022, 7:51am
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Quoted from Poojah


There are nine scenarios in terms of result combinations, and only one can result in us dropping from 6th place, and even that requires a 4 goal GD swing. In probability terms we’re talking somewhere between a 5% and 12% of us finishing 7th. It’s pretty remote.


I bet the Northampton forum read quite similar to that a couple of weeks back lol!


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buckstown
May 12, 2022, 8:27am
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Honestly don't care a jot whether we finish 6th or 7th, I'm pleased we made the play offs. We're going to have 3 tough games away from Blundell Park so bring them on in any order.
Think PH will rest virtually all of his first choice starting line up on Sunday because trying to finish 5th will be very tough, take a lot out of them and probably be futile
Guessing Solihull and Halifax will be going for it on Sunday so whichever of them misses out might be a better destination?
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immariner
May 12, 2022, 10:57am
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Quoted from Poojah


There are nine scenarios in terms of result combinations, and only one can result in us dropping from 6th place, and even that requires a 4 goal GD swing. In probability terms we’re talking somewhere between a 5% and 12% of us finishing 7th. It’s pretty remote.


In regular season games, absolutely. But if we put out a reserve team, as in resting all of the starting 11 from BW, bringing in a couple of yoofs, we're most likely going to lose, Chesterfield are most likely going to win. I'd honestly put that scenario as low as evens .A 4 goal swing in that event I'd also put at evens. I don't think Hurst will look to do that though. I think the bench will all likely come in plus probably Max. I think Fox will keep his place as he's only a few games back from a lay off. At least 5 changes I would say.
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Poojah
May 12, 2022, 11:12am
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Quoted from immariner


In regular season games, absolutely. But if we put out a reserve team, as in resting all of the starting 11 from BW, bringing in a couple of yoofs, we're most likely going to lose, Chesterfield are most likely going to win. I'd honestly put that scenario as low as evens .A 4 goal swing in that event I'd also put at evens. I don't think Hurst will look to do that though. I think the bench will all likely come in plus probably Max. I think Fox will keep his place as he's only a few games back from a lay off. At least 5 changes I would say.


There's already a minimum 10 day gap between our final league game and the play-off quarter final. Anyone who doesn't play on Sunday will have gone over 2 weeks without a game; I'm not sure how advantageous that will be in most cases.

I suspect we might see some sensible decisions made in terms of resting certain players; McAtee most likely getting a light run out off the bench, and perhaps a start for the likes of Max Wright who's not had much game time but may be needed in the play-offs, but I don't think we'll see anything resembling a reserve side fielded against Eastleigh.

Edit: I've just seen the dates have been moved forward a couple of days, but the point in general still stands.


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Les Brechin
May 12, 2022, 12:22pm

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Halifax still with a chance of finishing 3rd so I'm sure they'll be going all out for the win on Sunday.


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RonMariner
May 12, 2022, 7:07pm

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Well, whatever happens in the play offs, it's clear that there is a new vibe at the club, a totally different trajectory from the constant doom and gloom, crass amateurism, counterproductive penny pinching, false economies, and embarrassing gaffs under the previous regime.

We once again have a club we can get behind, a club we can be proud of, win draw or lose. For the first time in years we can look forward to the future.

We have got our club back.
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