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Not looking good for Scunny

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GrimPol
February 2, 2022, 1:36pm
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"We can all bleat on about if we had won here or drawn there, the simple facts are that John Fenty, Ian Holloway and Paul Hurst are all responsible for us being out of the Football League."

Not the players?
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Davec
February 2, 2022, 2:07pm
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Quoted from Son of Cod

Hurst out thread less than 2 months after he's appointed. That's good going even for a Town fan.

We were absolutely robbed at Carlisle too, there was a perfectly fine goal disallowed. Waterfall came on in the 90th minute too, I think 95% of professional football managers are making that change to protect the lead, let's not dress this up like Parslow v2.0.


I know that game as the Waterfall wobble, the sequel to the Parslow Point
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White_shorts
February 2, 2022, 2:22pm
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I think it is too early to pop the champagne corks. Here are Scunthorpe's remaining games (home in capitals):

OLDHAM, WALSALL, Swindon, ROCHDALE, NORTHAMPTON, Sutton, Crawley, COLCHESTER, BARROW, Salford, HARROGATE, Forest Green, MANSFIELD, Leyton Orient, STEVENAGE, Bradford, HARTLEPOOL, Bristol Rovers.

If they are still eight points adrift after the Barrow game, then they are probably doomed.
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Poojah
February 2, 2022, 2:48pm
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Quoted from White_shorts
I think it is too early to pop the champagne corks. Here are Scunthorpe's remaining games (home in capitals):

OLDHAM, WALSALL, Swindon, ROCHDALE, NORTHAMPTON, Sutton, Crawley, COLCHESTER, BARROW, Salford, HARROGATE, Forest Green, MANSFIELD, Leyton Orient, STEVENAGE, Bradford, HARTLEPOOL, Bristol Rovers.

If they are still eight points adrift after the Barrow game, then they are probably doomed.


This is a double-edged sword though, particularly when you consider that they’ve only won 3 games all season. Lose to any one of those relegation rivals and it compounds the issue.

A handful of six-pointers does in theory give them a chance, but it also makes things incredibly perilous. I think if you ran this scenario through a probability machine, the odds of Scunny surviving would look pretty poor.


A smooth sea never made a skillful mariner.
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ginnywings
February 2, 2022, 4:59pm

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Quoted from Poojah


This is a double-edged sword though, particularly when you consider that they’ve only won 3 games all season. Lose to any one of those relegation rivals and it compounds the issue.

A handful of six-pointers does in theory give them a chance, but it also makes things incredibly perilous. I think if you ran this scenario through a probability machine, the odds of Scunny surviving would look pretty poor.


They got 13 wins last season and barely scraped staying up. Are they going to win 10 games from their remaining fixtures?

Knowing our luck, they will stay up with less points than we got relegated with. Some seasons, it takes less points than others.
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RobDef1
February 2, 2022, 7:33pm

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Quoted from diehardmariner
We buggered it up against Carlisle away.  Turned 3 points into 1 when we needed momentum going into the Colchester game.  With momentum I think we'd have beat Colchester and completely changed the dynamic of the relegation scrap.

But yeah ultimately we just left it too late to get going.  Hindsight's great.


I felt at the time and still do today, that we were down the moment Stevenage scored that last kick of the game winner at BP straight from kick off. Teams do not come back from that stuff mentally. And so it proved to be. Think Scunny have made surprisingly decent signings in the last week given the circumstances, but it'll take a miracle to keep them up, can't see it happening.


Codhead, socialist, recovered addict.
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Madeleymariner
February 2, 2022, 8:03pm

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Quoted from RobDef1


I felt at the time and still do today, that we were down the moment Stevenage scored that last kick of the game winner at BP straight from kick off. Teams do not come back from that stuff mentally. And so it proved to be. Think Scunny have made surprisingly decent signings in the last week given the circumstances, but it'll take a miracle to keep them up, can't see it happening.


Exactly what I posted when Stevenage beat us.
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Poojah
February 2, 2022, 8:04pm
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Quoted from ginnywings


They got 13 wins last season and barely scraped staying up. Are they going to win 10 games from their remaining fixtures?

Knowing our luck, they will stay up with less points than we got relegated with. Some seasons, it takes less points than others.


Well somehow they’ve managed to accrue 5 fewer points than we had at the same stage last season, which gives you a benchmark as to just how rancid they have been.

After 28 games we were 3 points from safety with two games in hand. However you frame it they’re in a much worse position than we were a year ago so they’ll need to do a lot more than we did with the remainder of the season (which wasn’t a lot, admittedly).


A smooth sea never made a skillful mariner.
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MuddyWaters
February 2, 2022, 8:14pm
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RonMariner
February 2, 2022, 8:20pm

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Looking grim indeed for them, but I don't think we will be in the League next season either unfortunately.    
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