|
horsforthmariner |
|
Fine Wine Drinker
Posts: 1,299
Posts Per Day: 0.29
Reputation: 78.8%
Rep Score: +7 / -2
Approval: +2,588
Gold Stars: 9
|
Barnet fail to win either of their final 2 matches
Or
We beat either of Notts County or FGR
Or
We draw against both Notts County and FGR
Or
Morcambe lose against both Cambridge Utd and Coventry
Or
We get 1 point in our remaining 2 games and Morecambe get 1 point from Cambridge and Coventry
Looking good!
|
|
|
|
|
oldun |
|
Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 4,341
Posts Per Day: 0.90
Reputation: 90.37%
Rep Score: +57 / -5
Approval: +3,475
|
Don't we just need to get more points than Barnet or Morecambe?
|
|
|
|
|
FishOutOfWater |
|
Barley Wine Drinker
Posts: 12,827
Posts Per Day: 2.15
Reputation: 87.01%
Rep Score: +52 / -7
Location: Goole
Approval: +6,564
Gold Stars: 37
|
We stay up if we don't lose again this season
Come on Town... let's do this!
UTM
|
|
|
|
|
RoboCod |
|
Barley Wine Drinker
Posts: 11,420
Posts Per Day: 1.91
Reputation: 78.76%
Rep Score: +70 / -19
Approval: +7,505
|
Morcambe lose against both Cambridge Utd and Coventry
Morecambe have 3 games left though.
|
| |
|
|
|
|
MarinerGaz |
|
Table Wine Drinker
Posts: 517
Posts Per Day: 0.16
Reputation: 79.87%
Rep Score: +4 / -1
Location: Northwich, Cheshire
Approval: +399
|
The other is against Barnet who need to win both their games so the above is correct
|
|
Logged |
Online |
|
|
|
Mariner55 |
|
Beer Drinker
Posts: 108
Posts Per Day: 0.04
Reputation: 84.77%
Rep Score: +3 / 0
Approval: +237
|
Morecambe have drawn 8/21 home games. I think they could quite well draw v Cambridge on Tuesday and Barnet. For what it's worth, I reckon we'll draw at home v Notts County. This is interesting to look at. Note how appalling our home record is. http://www.soccerstats.com/homeaway.asp?league=england4
|
|
|
|
|
Swansea_Mariner |
|
Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 3,524
Posts Per Day: 0.61
Reputation: 85.79%
Rep Score: +22 / -3
Approval: +6,430
Gold Stars: 63
|
Unbeaten at home under the Jolleper, Slade was a complete turd.
|
|
|
|
|
Reverendmariner |
|
Table Wine Drinker
Posts: 526
Posts Per Day: 0.09
Reputation: 85.92%
Rep Score: +4 / 0
Approval: +275
|
I may be wrong, but I think it's very unlikely we'll go down now. One more point will do it.
|
|
|
|
|
RoboCod |
|
Barley Wine Drinker
Posts: 11,420
Posts Per Day: 1.91
Reputation: 78.76%
Rep Score: +70 / -19
Approval: +7,505
|
Strange thing with Morecambe, could be dark horses for the drop. Crept into the bottom 3 while most people focussed on us, FGR, Barnet and Chesterfield. Very out of form but their habit of drawing games might just keep them out of it.
|
| |
|
|
|
|
grimsby pete |
|
Exile
Posts: 55,652
Posts Per Day: 9.81
Reputation: 81.7%
Rep Score: +126 / -28
Location: Suffolk
Approval: +17,779
Gold Stars: 222
|
I am hoping Cambridge can manage a win at Morecombe on Tuesday That will mean their match against Barnet could decide who goes down with Chesterfield, Notts Counfy are in the play offs so they might either rest a few players or some will not want to get injured before the play off games, For that reason and because Jolley has got us organised I am predicting another 1-0 win So I feel a lot better now its just not the 3 of us Morecombe make 4.
|
| Over 36 years living in Suffolk but always a mariner. 68 Years following the Town
Life member of Trust
First game April 1955 |
|
|
|
|
Balthazar Bullitt |
|
Table Wine Drinker
Posts: 848
Posts Per Day: 0.26
Reputation: 85.85%
Rep Score: +10 / -1
Approval: +2,260
Gold Stars: 16
|
County still have a chance of an automatic spot
Doubt they'll be resting anyone
|
|
|
|
|
Garth |
|
Season Ticket Holder
Posts: 11,493
Posts Per Day: 1.92
Reputation: 80.75%
Rep Score: +55 / -13
Approval: +4,921
Gold Stars: 26
|
Barnet have only one game to win, their other one against Chesterfield is a given three points
|
|
|
|
|
FishOutOfWater |
|
Barley Wine Drinker
Posts: 12,827
Posts Per Day: 2.15
Reputation: 87.01%
Rep Score: +52 / -7
Location: Goole
Approval: +6,564
Gold Stars: 37
|
Barnet have only one game to win, their other one against Chesterfield is a given three points
Could be.... but then again maybe Chesterfield could well be motivated to take them down with them? There'll be no pressure on the Spireites so they shouldn't be nervy and who knows how it will pan out. Stranger things have happened
|
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
It may even come down to a reversal of the 2010 last day, i.e. Barnet needing to win and hope that we lose.
If Cambridge win on Tuesday we are almost home and dry, because I can't see Morecombe beating Coventry on the last day, so the Morecombe Barnet game becomes a winner take all match.
|
|
|
|
|
Mariner55 |
|
Beer Drinker
Posts: 108
Posts Per Day: 0.04
Reputation: 84.77%
Rep Score: +3 / 0
Approval: +237
|
Barnet's game v Chesterfield is not "a given". No game is. Chesterfield players will want to be kept on and also they may play better now the pressure is off them.
I think it will all be sorted next Saturday. Draws.
|
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
Terrible though Chesterfield have been recently, the only team they did beat was Notts County.
So we must have a chance against them,
|
|
|
|
|
Youngy |
|
Fine Wine Drinker
Posts: 1,338
Posts Per Day: 0.22
Reputation: 81.46%
Rep Score: +14 / -3
Approval: +1,667
Gold Stars: 9
|
It may even come down to a reversal of the 2010 last day, i.e. Barnet needing to win and hope that we lose.
If Cambridge win on Tuesday we are almost home and dry, because I can't see Morecombe beating Coventry on the last day, so the Morecombe Barnet game becomes a winner take all match.
Can we officially call that the 'Akpro effect'?
|
|
|
|
|
lew chaterleys lover |
|
Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 4,997
Posts Per Day: 1.07
Reputation: 75.9%
Rep Score: +30 / -10
Approval: +10,653
Gold Stars: 234
|
There is still some work to do.
If Morecombe win on Tuesday they are safe.
That leaves us and Barnet to fight it out. If Barnet win both their games (against one team who are safe, and one team who are already down) and we draw one and lose one we would be down on goal difference wouldn't we?
So if Morecombe win on Tuesday we need a win or two draws to be safe. It would be awful needing a point on the last day.
|
|
Logged |
|
|
|
|
cmackenzie4 |
|
Recovering Alcoholic
Posts: 58,410
Posts Per Day: 11.27
Reputation: 92.05%
Rep Score: +130 / -10
Location: Grimsby
Approval: +14,335
Gold Stars: 33
|
Let’s hope Morecambe lose Tuesday then!
|
| Grimsby and proud! |
|
Logged |
|
|
|
|
hampshiremariner |
|
Snakebite drinker
Posts: 370
Posts Per Day: 0.06
Reputation: 85.92%
Rep Score: +4 / 0
Approval: +1,050
Gold Stars: 35
|
Thank goodness, at last we have a bit of optimism. Couldn't follow the match today, too nervous. Some hope now. Well done, lads.
|
|
|
|
|
Limerick Mariner |
|
Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 3,323
Posts Per Day: 0.56
Reputation: 78.12%
Rep Score: +10 / -3
Location: Melton Mowbray
Approval: +5,659
Gold Stars: 136
|
Let’s hope Morecambe lose Tuesday then!
That's not what Lew's Lover said though - let's hope they don't win...! If they draw they are not safe from Barnet that is the key thing. Two draws for Morecambe in their next two games and we are safe... If Morecambe win on Tuesday then we are still fretting big time because we need two points to be safe. I can't see Barnet failing to beat Chesterfield, Martin Allen has got them scoring goals and we really need Morecambe scrapping with them next Saturday. Beating Notts is a massive ask, and Forest Green would love to send us down!
|
|
|
|
|
Mrs Doyle |
|
Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 4,685
Posts Per Day: 0.78
Reputation: 66.38%
Rep Score: +22 / -13
Approval: +4,859
|
Why is everyone assuming Barnet will win there two remaining games?
|
|
|
|
|
Limerick Mariner |
|
Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 3,323
Posts Per Day: 0.56
Reputation: 78.12%
Rep Score: +10 / -3
Location: Melton Mowbray
Approval: +5,659
Gold Stars: 136
|
Why is everyone assuming Barnet will win there two remaining games?
I think the assumption is they will win their last game...
|
|
|
|
|
KingstonMariner |
|
Meths Drinker
Posts: 22,096
Posts Per Day: 6.08
Reputation: 79.33%
Rep Score: +42 / -11
Approval: +23,440
Gold Stars: 218
|
Barnet's game v Chesterfield is not "a given". No game is. Chesterfield players will want to be kept on and also they may play better now the pressure is off them.
I think it will all be sorted next Saturday. Draws.
If they saw that interview with their director the other day, they might not want to stay on with the prospect of the budget being taken down from £2.5m to £1m.
|
| Through the door there came familiar laughter, I saw your face and heard you call my name. Oh my friend we're older but no wiser, For in our hearts the dreams are still the same. |
|
|
|
|
LondonMariner43 |
|
Champagne Drinker
Posts: 2,137
Posts Per Day: 0.41
Reputation: 81.81%
Rep Score: +19 / -4
Approval: +3,935
Gold Stars: 64
|
Morecombe could be the ones to go down. If they lose to Cambridge on Tuesday then I will consider Town to be safe
|
|
|
|
|
Marinerdan |
|
Fine Wine Drinker
Posts: 1,206
Posts Per Day: 0.23
Reputation: 88.66%
Rep Score: +15 / -1
Approval: +969
Gold Stars: 17
|
Latest relegation odds are looking good for us;
Chesterfield - closed book Barnet - 1/12 Morecambe - 10-1 Grimsby - 14-1 Vgr- 50-1
Not long ago we were around evens (or worse) to go down.
Jolley has done a great job steadying the ship and grinding out the results.
|
| UTM |
|
|
|
|
promotion plaice |
|
Moderator
Posts: 19,585
Posts Per Day: 3.85
Reputation: 64.79%
Rep Score: +20 / -13
Location: Cleethorpes
Approval: +16,996
Gold Stars: 193
|
I'm feeling a lot more relaxed tonight....massive 3 points....should be enough to keep us up.
|
| When Leeds trainer Les Cocker was once told Norman Hunter had broken a leg, he asked: “Whose is it?” |
|
|
|
|
HertsGTFC |
|
Posts: 14,060
Posts Per Day: 4.26
Reputation: 75.4%
Rep Score: +29 / -10
Location: Stevenage
Approval: +22,875
Gold Stars: 227
|
We need Cambridge not to lose on Tuesday night at Morecombe otherwise Barnet's last 2 games will be versus sides with nothing to play for.
|
| "Crombie you would have got to that if you weren't such a fat ba%$@rd" - George Kerr, inspiration from the dug out 70s style |
|
|
|
|
Badger57 |
|
Cocktail Drinker
Posts: 1,512
Posts Per Day: 0.28
Reputation: 89.2%
Rep Score: +8 / 0
Location: Grimsby
Approval: +1,894
Gold Stars: 30
|
So far so good but I'm not celebrating yet! I'll breathe a lot more easily if Cambridge beat Morecambe on Tuesday because then they are really in the mix. A win or draw for them in their following game against Barnet and we're safe whilst a worst case scenario of defeat in that game would leave them needing at least a draw in their tough looking last game away to Coventry if we were to lose our last 2.. A shame Chesterfield didn't get at least a draw today or Forest Green would have been in the mire too.
|
|
|
|
|
GrimRob |
|
Moderator
Posts: 12,666
Posts Per Day: 2.12
Reputation: 69.92%
Rep Score: +76 / -34
Approval: +13,397
Gold Stars: 113
|
There are more ways to stay up than there are to go down now. A couple of games ago it was the opposite.
The only thing I can say is it would hurt a lot more if we went down now. Hartlepool thought they had escaped last year and the way they ended up relegated must have been gut-wrenching. People would have been jumping off high buildings if there were any in Hartlepool.
|
| 'Tis better to have loved and lost than never to have loved at all. ~ Alfred Lord Tennyson
|
|
|
|
|
ginnywings |
|
Recovering Alcoholic
Posts: 28,141
Posts Per Day: 5.04
Reputation: 73.79%
Rep Score: +88 / -32
Approval: +56,098
Gold Stars: 548
|
I'm still not counting my chickens. I thought before last Saturday that 4 points would be enough if 3 came against Barnet. We got the four points, which is great, but i just can't stop thinking we missed a great opportunity to see off the Barnet threat. We could have been safe tonight. I'm used to disappointment with Town and it would be the ultimate slap in the chops if we got this close, where you can almost touch the finish line, only to have it snatched away in the last game. I'm praying we are safe this time next week, as i have been dreading the last game for some time. Going there needing a result would be horrific. Barnet are going to be well up for this with the form they are in now and the opposition they have left. Can we beat Notts and put it to bed? Tough task as they are chasing automatic and have also hit form after a dodgy spell. Mind you, i didn't think we would win at Swindon, so we are better off than we were this morning with one game less to play.
|
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
I hope we make through our own efforts by getting the two points we need, rather than because Barnet or Morecombe hand it to us on a plate. But I'll be happy either way.
There is still a strong chance we may go down and if we do it will be because we didn't beat Barnet.
We have all been saying for months that the two home games against Chesterfield and Barnet would largely determine our fate, and they may well end up doing so. I saw several comments to the effect that we wouldn't deserve to stay up if we couldn't win those games. If Barnet do pip us to the post it will be because they would have put together five wins in seven games. You would have to say that they would deserve it if they pulled that off. We could have no complaints. It was there on plate for us to kill Barnet off, but we were just not good enough.
That said, Jolley deserves praise for turning our form around with this squad. I look forward to seeing him building a really good squad next season whichever league we are in.
|
|
|
|
|
RichMariner |
|
Brandy Drinker
Posts: 2,965
Posts Per Day: 0.50
Reputation: 89.39%
Rep Score: +42 / -4
Location: Garforth, Leeds
Approval: +9,141
Gold Stars: 209
|
Morecambe. With an ‘a’.
|
| "Don't shine that light in my face, mate - I've just lost a pint of blood." |
|
|
|
|
Mallyner |
|
Cocktail Drinker
Posts: 1,785
Posts Per Day: 0.60
Reputation: 80.9%
Rep Score: +9 / -2
Location: New Waltham
Approval: +2,507
Gold Stars: 23
|
Tuesday night is important, Morecambe v Cambridge, who have nothing to play for, but are a fair side. Then Saturday is Morecambe v Barnet and their final game is Coventry away. I was worried in the night about us going down but I now feel it will be one of those 2.
|
| Supporting Town for 65 years. |
|
|
|
|
Limerick Mariner |
|
Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 3,323
Posts Per Day: 0.56
Reputation: 78.12%
Rep Score: +10 / -3
Location: Melton Mowbray
Approval: +5,659
Gold Stars: 136
|
Latest relegation odds are looking good for us;
Chesterfield - closed book Barnet - 1/12 Morecambe - 10-1 Grimsby - 14-1 Vgr- 50-1
Not long ago we were around evens (or worse) to go down.
Jolley has done a great job steadying the ship and grinding out the results.
Lots of us have been nervously jabbering on this thread saying more or less the same thing - Tuesday night is a massive night for us. At those odds I think a fiver on Morecambe is worth a punt. Taking Barnet to beat Chesterfield as a given, its a 10-1 for three match combo - Morecambe to do no better than get one point from games at home to Camb and away to Cov, and to lose at home to Barnet. The other option of course is to lay Barnet on Betfair, because that brings us into the bet...!
|
|
|
|
|
Meza |
|
Posts: 9,729
Posts Per Day: 1.83
Reputation: 94.61%
Rep Score: +78 / -3
Location: Lincoln
Approval: +1,631
Gold Stars: 50
|
Cambridge beat Cheltenham 4-3 and are certainly not on holiday just yet. We definitely need Cambridge to win and i can see the fight being between Barnet and Morecambe.
Morecambe have nearly been relegated in past few seasons or it feels like that anyway. If Morecambe get relegated it will take them an age to get back.
I knew town would win yesterday 😁
|
| [URL=https://imgur.com/VCxdH2Y][IMG]https://i.imgur.com/VCxdH2Ys.jpg[/IMG][/URL][URL=https://imgur.com/uMRVvRe][IMG]https://i.imgur.com/uMRVvRes.jpg[/IMG][/URL][URL=https://imgur.com/5p7nllT][IMG]https://i.imgur.com/5p7nllTs.jpg[/IMG][/URL][URL=https://imgur.com/46BEw5M][IMG]https://i.imgur.com/46BEw5Ms.jpg[/IMG][/URL][URL=https://imgur.com/06NXnQF][IMG]https://i.imgur.com/06NXnQFs.jpg[/IMG][/URL]
My Grimsby Legends |
|
|
|
|
Rodley Mariner |
|
Posts: 7,807
Posts Per Day: 1.37
Reputation: 78.86%
Rep Score: +63 / -17
Location: Farsley, Leeds
Approval: +13,239
Gold Stars: 176
|
A few people have referred to the 'point we need to confirm safety' but at least in terms of Barnet catching us a point makes no difference does it?
|
|
|
|
|
ginnywings |
|
Recovering Alcoholic
Posts: 28,141
Posts Per Day: 5.04
Reputation: 73.79%
Rep Score: +88 / -32
Approval: +56,098
Gold Stars: 548
|
A few people have referred to the 'point we need to confirm safety' but at least in terms of Barnet catching us a point makes no difference does it?
No, because their better GD is worth a point to them effectively. We need 2 points to be sure.
|
|
|
|
|
dapperz fun pub |
|
Posts: 9,336
Posts Per Day: 1.59
Reputation: 84.95%
Rep Score: +37 / -6
Approval: +9,879
Gold Stars: 82
|
The key game is Morecombe Cambridge we need a Cambridge win or draw minimum, that keeps the shrimpers firmly in the excrement and hopefully means the Saturday game with Barnet plays out to a feisty draw
|
|
|
|
|
Grimbiggs |
|
Table Wine Drinker
Posts: 642
Posts Per Day: 0.22
Reputation: 65.94%
Rep Score: +4 / -4
Approval: +685
|
Really need Morecambe to lose on Tuesday, lots of combinations possible, but if Coventry get a result against Lincoln on Tuesday they could rest players against Morecambe, as they'll already be in the play-offs....at the end of the day it's in our own hands, so let's just get the job done on Saturday.
|
|
|
|
|
Ipswin |
|
Vodka Drinker
Posts: 6,592
Posts Per Day: 1.10
Reputation: 51.24%
Rep Score: +44 / -47
Approval: -3,552
Gold Stars: 89
|
A few people have referred to the 'point we need to confirm safety' but at least in terms of Barnet catching us a point makes no difference does it?
It does if its a single point to Barnet you are talking about - thats all thats needed to keep us safe, a draw with Morecambe is favourite and that'll do it
|
| |
|
Logged |
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
I really hope FGR get a point on Tuesday. Then they are safe. The less they have to play for the better, because a win at their place is still a get out of jail card for us whatever happens next Saturday. Hope it doesn't come to that.
|
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
After yesterday's win, Barnet fans must be thinking that we are more than capable of getting a result at FGR. So for them I imagine its catching Morecambe that is their best hope of staying up.
Should Morecambe win on Tuesday, Barnet might well feel that they are down already.
|
|
|
|
|
IlkleyMariner |
|
Champagne Drinker
Posts: 2,431
Posts Per Day: 0.56
Reputation: 87.12%
Rep Score: +12 / -1
Location: Ilkley
Approval: +2,978
Gold Stars: 69
|
I really hope FGR get a point on Tuesday. Then they are safe. The less they have to play for the better, because a win at their place is still a get out of jail card for us whatever happens next Saturday. Hope it doesn't come to that.
Both Yeovil and fgr can confirm safety with a draw. Worth a flutter as that's very likely to be the result.
|
|
|
|
|
The_Laughing_Mariner |
|
Brandy Drinker
Posts: 2,837
Posts Per Day: 0.47
Reputation: 78.02%
Rep Score: +17 / -5
Approval: +1,041
Gold Stars: 10
|
I think this is the time to remember the Serenity prayer.
God, grant me the serenity to accept the things I cannot change, Courage to change the things I can, And wisdom to know the difference.
We have no effect on games played elsewhere so don't worry about them. What we can do is create the right atmosphere, get right behind the club, team and management, support them positively and don't get on their backs if things start to go awry. Together we can get out of this mess.
|
| <'(((((<
When I was a little boy I asked my daddy what would i be would I be United, would i be Leeds Here's what he said to me
Oh Grimsby Grimsby Whatever will be will be You'll follow then faithfully Oh Grimsby Grimsby
Tell me Mam me Mam I dont want no tea no tea I'm watching the Grimsby Tell me Mam me mam |
|
|
|
|
arryarryarry |
|
Barley Wine Drinker
Posts: 10,246
Posts Per Day: 1.71
Reputation: 52.76%
Rep Score: +26 / -28
Approval: +10,041
Gold Stars: 116
|
I really hope FGR get a point on Tuesday. Then they are safe. The less they have to play for the better, because a win at their place is still a get out of jail card for us whatever happens next Saturday. Hope it doesn't come to that.
Do you really think that if FGR are safe and we need to win they will just role over and hand it to us?
|
|
Logged |
|
|
|
|
Limerick Mariner |
|
Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 3,323
Posts Per Day: 0.56
Reputation: 78.12%
Rep Score: +10 / -3
Location: Melton Mowbray
Approval: +5,659
Gold Stars: 136
|
Do you really think that if FGR are safe and we need to win they will just role over and hand it to us?
Their Chairman will want to send us down if they can - the team will be fully committed to doing that... Notts are a bit erratic, they had a good result on Saturday but Chesterfield turned them over comfortably 4 weeks ago. We need to get the job done on Saturday.
|
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
Do you really think that if FGR are safe and we need to win they will just role over and hand it to us?
No. I didn't say that. I just think that it will be slightly easier for us if FGR are not fighting for their survival too.
|
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
Their Chairman will want to send us down if they can - the team will be fully committed to doing that...
Really? What makes you think that? Just because we beat them in a play off final two years ago? He's a businessman. I am, sure that if he had a preference, which I doubt he does, he would probably choose Barnet or Morecambe to drop as they bring smaller revenue with them on match days.
|
|
|
|
|
arryarryarry |
|
Barley Wine Drinker
Posts: 10,246
Posts Per Day: 1.71
Reputation: 52.76%
Rep Score: +26 / -28
Approval: +10,041
Gold Stars: 116
|
No. I didn't say that.
I just think that it will be slightly easier for us if FGR are not fighting for their survival too.
Surely the opposite could happen, they would be under no pressure and may well play much better than they have been. You need to stop clutching at straws and hope that it doesn't come down to that day.
|
|
Logged |
|
|
|
|
Limerick Mariner |
|
Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 3,323
Posts Per Day: 0.56
Reputation: 78.12%
Rep Score: +10 / -3
Location: Melton Mowbray
Approval: +5,659
Gold Stars: 136
|
Really? What makes you think that? Just because we beat them in a play off final two years ago?
He's a businessman. I am, sure that if he had a preference, which I doubt he does, he would probably choose Barnet or Morecambe to drop as they bring smaller revenue with them on match days.
In his day job, yes. FGR are his subbuteo set, he will like to win - to beat one of the bigger boys' with over 120 years of longer history and send us back to the "graveyard" as he called it - will make his tackle seem so much bigger...
|
|
|
|
|
arryarryarry |
|
Barley Wine Drinker
Posts: 10,246
Posts Per Day: 1.71
Reputation: 52.76%
Rep Score: +26 / -28
Approval: +10,041
Gold Stars: 116
|
In his day job, yes. FGR are his subbuteo set, he will like to win - to beat one of the bigger boys' with over 120 years of longer history and send us back to the "graveyard" as he called it - will make his tackle seem so much bigger...
If we lose and end up going down mine will shrivel to a 12" stump.
|
|
Logged |
|
|
|
|
AussieMariner |
|
Table Wine Drinker
Posts: 910
Posts Per Day: 0.34
Reputation: 77.64%
Rep Score: +13 / -4
Location: Leeds
Approval: +2,072
Gold Stars: 31
|
If we lose and end up going down mine will shrivel to a 12" stump.
Is that 4” per Arry? Still not bad mind
|
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
Surely the opposite could happen, they would be under no pressure and may well play much better than they have been.
You need to stop clutching at straws and hope that it doesn't come down to that day.
Well applying that logic you could say the same about Chesterfield at Barnet. It's not clutching at straws to ponder the various permutations. Posters on this forum have been doing so for weeks. If your not really interested in in these what if's, you're about the only one on this site who isn't
|
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
In his day job, yes. FGR are his subbuteo set, he will like to win - to beat one of the bigger boys' with over 120 years of longer history and send us back to the "graveyard" as he called it - will make his tackle seem so much bigger...
I seriously doubt he could give a knats balls about it. He's probably more concerned with making sure his vegan burgers have enough halloumi fries to go with them.
|
|
|
|
|
livvo |
|
Beer Drinker
Posts: 149
Posts Per Day: 0.03
Approval: +133
Gold Stars: 6
|
Do you mean the well known cheese halloumi?
|
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
Do you mean the well known cheese halloumi?
To be fair I quite like halloumi......
|
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
Here's the recipe......
Mix together 75g plain flour and 3 tbsp za'atar. Toss the fries in the flour mixture, making sure they are coated completely. Heat oil to 180C or until a piece of bread browns in 20 seconds. Fry the halloumi in batches for 2-3 mins until golden brown and crispy.
|
|
|
|
|
livvo |
|
Beer Drinker
Posts: 149
Posts Per Day: 0.03
Approval: +133
Gold Stars: 6
|
Not very vegan though buddy
|
|
|
|
|
IlkleyMariner |
|
Champagne Drinker
Posts: 2,431
Posts Per Day: 0.56
Reputation: 87.12%
Rep Score: +12 / -1
Location: Ilkley
Approval: +2,978
Gold Stars: 69
|
We should go for a win on Saturday v Notts You know it makes sense.
No other result matters....that's what MJ will be saying....just focus on winning and nothing else comes in to play.
|
|
|
|
|
friskneymariner |
|
Posts: 2,494
Posts Per Day: 0.56
Reputation: 79.23%
Rep Score: +15 / -4
Location: friskney
Approval: +4,157
Gold Stars: 38
|
Here's the recipe......
Mix together 75g plain flour and 3 tbsp za'atar. Toss the fries in the flour mixture, making sure they are coated completely. Heat oil to 180C or until a piece of bread browns in 20 seconds. Fry the halloumi in batches for 2-3 mins until golden brown and crispy.
Place on kitchen roll to dry off ,throw the halloumi away and eat the kitchen roll.
|
| Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day,teach a man to fish and you give him an excuse for him to escape from the wife and kids for the weekend and drink lots of beer. |
|
|
|
|
Poojah |
|
Vodka Drinker
Posts: 7,179
Posts Per Day: 1.24
Reputation: 86.63%
Rep Score: +76 / -11
Approval: +29,424
Gold Stars: 1,499
|
In 15 games against the current top 8 we’ve won only once (Accrington away) and have lost 10 of them. Without detracting from the obvious and commendable progress under Michael Jolley our two recent wins have come against the league’s worst time and the team bottom of the form table.
Notts County, with an automatic place to play for and three wins on the bounce under their belt will be a completely different proposition. If we are to win, we’re probably going to have to put in the best performance of our season so far (though of course that’s still a pretty low benchmark to beat).
As someone else posted though, a solitary point isn’t of much value to us so we may as well go out there on the front foot. The crowd will certainly be behind them.
|
| A smooth sea never made a skillful mariner. |
|
|
|
|
lew chaterleys lover |
|
Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 4,997
Posts Per Day: 1.07
Reputation: 75.9%
Rep Score: +30 / -10
Approval: +10,653
Gold Stars: 234
|
In 15 games against the current top 8 we’ve won only once (Accrington away) and have lost 10 of them. Without detracting from the obvious and commendable progress under Michael Jolley our two recent wins have come against the league’s worst time and the team bottom of the form table.
Notts County, with an automatic place to play for and three wins on the bounce under their belt will be a completely different proposition. If we are to win, we’re probably going to have to put in the best performance of our season so far (though of course that’s still a pretty low benchmark to beat).
As someone else posted though, a solitary point isn’t of much value to us so we may as well go out there on the front foot. The crowd will certainly be behind them.
We need 2 points to be safe regardless of other results so if we can get one point against County so be it. That would mean we obviously only need a draw at FGR if required which is better than having to go for the win there.
|
|
Logged |
|
|
|
|
topuphere666 |
|
Vodka Drinker
Posts: 6,516
Posts Per Day: 1.19
Reputation: 77.96%
Rep Score: +24 / -7
Approval: +1,843
Gold Stars: 3
|
If we go down on the last game of the season, bacon is being slapped on the goal posts!
|
|
|
|
|
promotion plaice |
|
Moderator
Posts: 19,585
Posts Per Day: 3.85
Reputation: 64.79%
Rep Score: +20 / -13
Location: Cleethorpes
Approval: +16,996
Gold Stars: 193
|
If we go down on the last game of the season, bacon is being slapped on the goal posts!
Anyone know a good slapper ?
|
| When Leeds trainer Les Cocker was once told Norman Hunter had broken a leg, he asked: “Whose is it?” |
|
|
|
|
Limerick Mariner |
|
Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 3,323
Posts Per Day: 0.56
Reputation: 78.12%
Rep Score: +10 / -3
Location: Melton Mowbray
Approval: +5,659
Gold Stars: 136
|
In 15 games against the current top 8 we’ve won only once (Accrington away) and have lost 10 of them. Without detracting from the obvious and commendable progress under Michael Jolley our two recent wins have come against the league’s worst time and the team bottom of the form table.
Notts County, with an automatic place to play for and three wins on the bounce under their belt will be a completely different proposition. If we are to win, we’re probably going to have to put in the best performance of our season so far (though of course that’s still a pretty low benchmark to beat).
As someone else posted though, a solitary point isn’t of much value to us so we may as well go out there on the front foot. The crowd will certainly be behind them.
On the other hand they looked nothing special at Meadow Lane - we were good value for the draw, in spite of the manager at the time, and they've had some notable slip-ups - losing at both of the bottom two.
|
|
|
|
|
KingstonMariner |
|
Meths Drinker
Posts: 22,096
Posts Per Day: 6.08
Reputation: 79.33%
Rep Score: +42 / -11
Approval: +23,440
Gold Stars: 218
|
We need 2 points to be safe regardless of other results so if we can get one point against County so be it. That would mean we obviously only need a draw at FGR if required which is better than having to go for the win there.
The interesting, and difficult, question is if we're drawing with 5-10 minutes to go against Notts, do we go for the winner?
|
| Through the door there came familiar laughter, I saw your face and heard you call my name. Oh my friend we're older but no wiser, For in our hearts the dreams are still the same. |
|
|
|
|
Grantham_Mariner |
|
Season Ticket Holder
Posts: 4,759
Posts Per Day: 0.80
Reputation: 91.39%
Rep Score: +23 / -1
Location: NG31 9LP
Approval: +3,178
Gold Stars: 50
|
|
| If the football is bad you can always watch the gulls. |
|
|
|
|
chaos33 |
|
Barley Wine Drinker
Posts: 11,580
Posts Per Day: 2.58
Reputation: 67.78%
Rep Score: +66 / -33
Location: The mountains
Approval: +17,862
Gold Stars: 353
|
Unless I've figured this out incorrectly - Barnet must beat Morecambe on Saturday, at Morecambe. If they fail to win we are safe whatever our score.
If we beat Notts county, we are safe, whatever Barnet's result.
If Barnet win and we lose or draw, we'll go into the final game away at FGR needing to win to guarantee safety, or at least to match Barnet's result at home to Chesterfield.
|
| "You should do what you love while you can" |
|
|
|
|
arryarryarry |
|
Barley Wine Drinker
Posts: 10,246
Posts Per Day: 1.71
Reputation: 52.76%
Rep Score: +26 / -28
Approval: +10,041
Gold Stars: 116
|
Anyone know a good slapper ?
Leave my wife out of this.
|
|
Logged |
|
|
|
|
lew chaterleys lover |
|
Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 4,997
Posts Per Day: 1.07
Reputation: 75.9%
Rep Score: +30 / -10
Approval: +10,653
Gold Stars: 234
|
Unless I've figured this out incorrectly - Barnet must beat Morecambe on Saturday, at Morecambe. If they fail to win we are safe whatever our score.
If we beat Notts county, we are safe, whatever Barnet's result.
If Barnet win and we lose or draw, we'll go into the final game away at FGR needing to win to guarantee safety, or at least to match Barnet's result at home to Chesterfield.
If Morecambe lose tomorrow, and then lose to Barnet, we will not need anything if they lose at Coventry as well. God its complicated, even with only a couple of games to go! I thought if we draw on Sat we would only need a draw at FGR ?
|
|
Logged |
|
|
|
|
KingstonMariner |
|
Meths Drinker
Posts: 22,096
Posts Per Day: 6.08
Reputation: 79.33%
Rep Score: +42 / -11
Approval: +23,440
Gold Stars: 218
|
|
| Through the door there came familiar laughter, I saw your face and heard you call my name. Oh my friend we're older but no wiser, For in our hearts the dreams are still the same. |
|
|
|
|
Poojah |
|
Vodka Drinker
Posts: 7,179
Posts Per Day: 1.24
Reputation: 86.63%
Rep Score: +76 / -11
Approval: +29,424
Gold Stars: 1,499
|
Unless I've figured this out incorrectly - Barnet must beat Morecambe on Saturday, at Morecambe. If they fail to win we are safe whatever our score.
If we beat Notts county, we are safe, whatever Barnet's result.
If Barnet win and we lose or draw, we'll go into the final game away at FGR needing to win to guarantee safety, or at least to match Barnet's result at home to Chesterfield.
A defeat for Morecambe tomorrow changes the dynamic considerably in our favour. With two games left for each team, there are still loads of permutations however in terms of simple probability it’s only a very small % that can send us down. Effectively, it would take: - Barnet to beat Morecambe - Town to lose or draw against Notts County - Barnet to beat Chesterfield - Morecambe to better our result on the final day by a point if we lose against County or two points if we draw Far stranger things have happened in football but there are quite a few planets which will need to align there in order for us to be relegated. Should Morecambe win tomorrow night the probability of us going down rises significantly, however of all the teams who can still drop our set of circumstances is the one I’d choose. All will be marginally clearer this time tomorrow.
|
| A smooth sea never made a skillful mariner. |
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
A defeat for Morecambe tomorrow changes the dynamic considerably in our favour. With two games left for each team, there are still loads of permutations however in terms of simple probability it’s only a very small % that can send us down. Effectively, it would take:
- Barnet to beat Morecambe - Town to lose or draw against Notts County - Barnet to beat Chesterfield - Morecambe to better our result on the final day by a point if we lose against County or two points if we draw
Far stranger things have happened in football but there are quite a few planets which will need to align there in order for us to be relegated.
Should Morecambe win tomorrow night the probability of us going down rises significantly, however of all the teams who can still drop our set of circumstances is the one I’d choose. All will be marginally clearer this time tomorrow.
Don't forget the fact that two draws for us keeps us up at the expense of Barnet. So all of the above items in your list could occur and we could still survive! I wonder if Rob could calculate the odds of all of that happening?
|
|
|
|
|
Biccys |
|
Moderator
Posts: 12,208
Posts Per Day: 2.04
Reputation: 72.32%
Rep Score: +55 / -22
Approval: +1,226
Gold Stars: 27
|
Don't forget the fact that two draws for us keeps us up at the expense of Barnet. So all of the above items in your list could occur and we could still survive!
I wonder if Rob could calculate the odds of all of that happening?
50-50. It will happen or it won't.
|
| 11,167
76,962
@biccysthefishy
£110,105
[url]https://www.easyfundraising.org.uk/causes/mariners-trust/[/url] |
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
50-50. It will happen or it won't.
You mean it's 50-50 me winning the lottery this weekend? Might buy a ticket then.
|
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
In fact I'll buy two tickets.......
|
|
|
|
|
Poojah |
|
Vodka Drinker
Posts: 7,179
Posts Per Day: 1.24
Reputation: 86.63%
Rep Score: +76 / -11
Approval: +29,424
Gold Stars: 1,499
|
Don't forget the fact that two draws for us keeps us up at the expense of Barnet. So all of the above items in your list could occur and we could still survive!
I wonder if Rob could calculate the odds of all of that happening?
You are indeed correct. Maths isn’t really my strong suit but I make it that there are 60 possible scenarios, of which 4 would see us go down. I could be slightly out with that, but that would mean a roughly 6.5% chance of relegation which I’d have taken at this stage a few weeks ago. Happy for someone more academic than I to correct me however. Edit: this would be true only if Morecambe lose tomorrow.
|
| A smooth sea never made a skillful mariner. |
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
You are indeed correct. Maths isn’t really my strong suit but I make it that there are 60 possible scenarios, of which 4 would see us go down. I could be slightly out with that, but that would mean a roughly 6.5% chance of relegation which I’d have taken at this stage a few weeks ago.
Happy for someone more academic than I to correct me however.
Slightly more complex than that because the probability of each outcome is not identical, but Rob normally has all this stuff at his fingertips so can tell us the true odds. I suggest he doesn't bother until this time tomorrow though.......
|
|
|
|
|
Badger57 |
|
Cocktail Drinker
Posts: 1,512
Posts Per Day: 0.28
Reputation: 89.2%
Rep Score: +8 / 0
Location: Grimsby
Approval: +1,894
Gold Stars: 30
|
|
|
|
|
Zmariner |
|
Fine Wine Drinker
Posts: 1,019
Posts Per Day: 0.17
Reputation: 75.95%
Rep Score: +8 / -3
Approval: +2,115
Gold Stars: 44
|
Sky say 14:1 against us going down which I think is generous. Could take it and pray to lose! If Morecambe win which is quite possible , Barnet beat a relaxed Morecambe (likely) in the next 2 we need 2 points. 2 draws or a win. A bit scarey UTM
|
|
|
|
|
Meza |
|
Posts: 9,729
Posts Per Day: 1.83
Reputation: 94.61%
Rep Score: +78 / -3
Location: Lincoln
Approval: +1,631
Gold Stars: 50
|
I hope Poojah has his rant ready if we go down lol
|
| [URL=https://imgur.com/VCxdH2Y][IMG]https://i.imgur.com/VCxdH2Ys.jpg[/IMG][/URL][URL=https://imgur.com/uMRVvRe][IMG]https://i.imgur.com/uMRVvRes.jpg[/IMG][/URL][URL=https://imgur.com/5p7nllT][IMG]https://i.imgur.com/5p7nllTs.jpg[/IMG][/URL][URL=https://imgur.com/46BEw5M][IMG]https://i.imgur.com/46BEw5Ms.jpg[/IMG][/URL][URL=https://imgur.com/06NXnQF][IMG]https://i.imgur.com/06NXnQFs.jpg[/IMG][/URL]
My Grimsby Legends |
|
|
|
|
Jarmo.Is.God |
|
Vodka Drinker
Posts: 5,332
Posts Per Day: 0.99
Reputation: 66.38%
Rep Score: +22 / -13
Approval: +6,051
Gold Stars: 86
|
Just catching up on this, so sorry if I repeating someone.
But if Morecambe lose tonight, then Barnet beat them on Saturday, which we all don't want to happen, then Morecambe have to get a result away at Coventry, even if we lose both games
|
|
|
|
|
MarinerMal |
|
Snakebite drinker
Posts: 375
Posts Per Day: 0.08
Reputation: 67.65%
Rep Score: +7 / -5
Approval: +784
Gold Stars: 17
|
The other teams can do as they will.
We beat County at the weekend we are safe.
Let's keep our fate in our own hands and not look to others.
|
|
|
|
|
oochiad |
|
Cocktail Drinker
Posts: 1,984
Posts Per Day: 0.62
Reputation: 77.08%
Rep Score: +9 / -3
Approval: +3,675
Gold Stars: 27
|
Easy to say but Notts are still playing for an automatic promotion place.........
|
|
|
|
|
The_Laughing_Mariner |
|
Brandy Drinker
Posts: 2,837
Posts Per Day: 0.47
Reputation: 78.02%
Rep Score: +17 / -5
Approval: +1,041
Gold Stars: 10
|
Stop worrying about other games, we can do nothing about then. One thing is definite, we will be at least two points clear when we go to the last game, it will be in our hands. Lets behave like what we are, the best fans in the football league and get right behind the lads
|
| <'(((((<
When I was a little boy I asked my daddy what would i be would I be United, would i be Leeds Here's what he said to me
Oh Grimsby Grimsby Whatever will be will be You'll follow then faithfully Oh Grimsby Grimsby
Tell me Mam me Mam I dont want no tea no tea I'm watching the Grimsby Tell me Mam me mam |
|
|
|
|
ginnywings |
|
Recovering Alcoholic
Posts: 28,141
Posts Per Day: 5.04
Reputation: 73.79%
Rep Score: +88 / -32
Approval: +56,098
Gold Stars: 548
|
I'm taking nothing for granted, despite us being 5 points clear with 2 games left. We have had such low points in recent years, that it wouldn't surprise me if we dropped into the last two, for the first time in 46 games, in the very last game of the season and got relegated by FGR. All the other disappointments would pale into insignificance if it were to happen, but being a GTFC fan for the last terrible 15 years has made me feel anything is possible. We cannot seem to shake off Barnet completely.
|
|
|
|
|
RonMariner |
|
Posts: 7,763
Posts Per Day: 1.41
Reputation: 84.78%
Rep Score: +42 / -7
Approval: +13,538
Gold Stars: 224
|
To have any chance of staying up Barnet had to win their last three games. Very few decent sides win three on the bounce, let alone a team in the bottom two.
Ok, so Allen has done an amazing job of motivating them in recent weeks, but the truth is that they are basically a poor side. Teams like Barnet seldom have the consistency to win week in week out. One slip up and they are done for.
Hats off to them if they pull it off, but history suggests they will most likely drop points in the next two games. How ironic if it were Chesterfield that sent them down!
|
|
|
|
|
Tommy |
|
Season Ticket Holder
Posts: 6,890
Posts Per Day: 1.22
Reputation: 79.98%
Rep Score: +60 / -15
Location: Cleethorpes
Approval: +8,865
Gold Stars: 76
|
Obviously tonight can change things, but.... thinking ahead to our game on Saturday.
It is an absolute MUST-NOT-LOSE game. Not a must-win. If we don't manage to win against what clearly is a decent side (despite them looking poor against Chesterfield on TV, they're up there for a reason), then it's vital we can hold on for a point.
Getting a draw as opposed to losing could be the difference between survival/relegation. Getting a draw leaves us only needing to draw at FGR on the last day. If we lose to Notts County, only a win at FGR guarantees safety.
Obviously hope we win on Saturday but just need to make sure we get at least a draw.
|
| "The greatest mistake you can make in life is to continually be afraid you will make one." |
|
|
|
|
lew chaterleys lover |
|
Whiskey Drinker
Posts: 4,997
Posts Per Day: 1.07
Reputation: 75.9%
Rep Score: +30 / -10
Approval: +10,653
Gold Stars: 234
|
Obviously tonight can change things, but.... thinking ahead to our game on Saturday.
It is an absolute MUST-NOT-LOSE game. Not a must-win. If we don't manage to win against what clearly is a decent side (despite them looking poor against Chesterfield on TV, they're up there for a reason), then it's vital we can hold on for a point.
Getting a draw as opposed to losing could be the difference between survival/relegation. Getting a draw leaves us only needing to draw at FGR on the last day. If we lose to Notts County, only a win at FGR guarantees safety.
Obviously hope we win on Saturday but just need to make sure we get at least a draw.
I agree with that. Of course we could lose on Saturday and still be safe if Barnet don't win on Saturday, but as you say if all else fails I would obviously prefer to be in need of a draw at FGR rather than a win. Like most of us I can't wait for it to be all over.
|
|
Logged |
|
|
|
|