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Grimsby favourites

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RichMariner	April 5, 2018, 11:36pm
Brandy Drinker Posts: 2,966 Posts Per Day: 0.50 Reputation: 89.39% Rep Score: +42 / -4 Location: Garforth, Leeds Approval: +9,134 Gold Stars: 209	Just looking at the match odds and we're comfortable favourites despite our awful run. Sporting Life (pretty decent free tipping service) are tipping Chesterfield to beat us on Saturday at 12/5 (or 3.40 if you bet with decimals): [url]https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/saturday's-sky-bet-efl-tips/145516[/url] Let's hope we justify our price and hope Sporting Life have called it wrong! "Don't shine that light in my face, mate - I've just lost a pint of blood."
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GrimRob	April 5, 2018, 11:43pm
Moderator Posts: 12,666 Posts Per Day: 2.12 Reputation: 69.92% Rep Score: +76 / -34 Approval: +13,397 Gold Stars: 113	Chesterfield probably is the value bet, but their away record is quite poor. Both teams need the win really, I'm not sure I would take the draw if I was in their position. Still, we're going to win! I'd like to see a settled side for one though, swapping and changing every week just doesn't suit us. 'Tis better to have loved and lost than never to have loved at all.   ~ Alfred Lord Tennyson
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KingstonMariner	April 5, 2018, 11:45pm
Meths Drinker Posts: 22,096 Posts Per Day: 6.08 Reputation: 79.33% Rep Score: +42 / -11 Approval: +23,440 Gold Stars: 218	Quoted from RichMariner Just looking at the match odds and we're comfortable favourites despite our awful run. Sporting Life (pretty decent free tipping service) are tipping Chesterfield to beat us on Saturday at 12/5 (or 3.40 if you bet with decimals): [url]https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/saturday's-sky-bet-efl-tips/145516[/url] Let's hope we justify our price and hope Sporting Life have called it wrong! More like 4.50. 3.40's not even half time. Through the door there came familiar laughter, I saw your face and heard you call my name. Oh my friend we're older but no wiser, For in our hearts the dreams are still the same.
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cannylad68	April 6, 2018, 7:37am
Table Wine Drinker Posts: 561 Posts Per Day: 0.11 Reputation: 74.7% Rep Score: +7 / -3 Approval: +33 Gold Stars: 8	I think you have both got it wrong. 12/5 in decimal odds for betting = 3.5 Half Time on Betfair for Chesterfield at this point in time = 3.9 to back  8.2 to lay
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Abdul19	April 6, 2018, 7:52am
Season Ticket Holder Posts: 20,398 Posts Per Day: 3.41 Reputation: 73.77% Rep Score: +71 / -26 Location: Scarborough Approval: +17,515 Gold Stars: 215	12/5 is definitely 3.4! The odds on us losing have been ridiculous for weeks - Exeter were 3.00 to beat us (a 1 in 3 chance of beating a team with 3 points out of 39?!), Cov and Lincoln around 1.8, Carlisle 2.05 and Crawley 2.2. JESUS AT THE CENTRE
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RichMariner	April 6, 2018, 12:05pm
Brandy Drinker Posts: 2,966 Posts Per Day: 0.50 Reputation: 89.39% Rep Score: +42 / -4 Location: Garforth, Leeds Approval: +9,134 Gold Stars: 209	Absolutely Abdul. I know some fans can't morally bring themselves to bet on (or back against) Town, which I get, but if you're clinical there's money to be made. The bookies have overpriced our opposition and while Chesterfield are below us they've been in better form and 3.4 seems quite generous. "Don't shine that light in my face, mate - I've just lost a pint of blood."
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Civvy at last	April 6, 2018, 12:11pm
Barley Wine Drinker Posts: 11,467 Posts Per Day: 2.04 Reputation: 74.47% Rep Score: +36 / -13 Approval: +12,204 Gold Stars: 131	Kids today eh?  2.4 and 5.329  etc etc. what the bl00dy hell is up with 3/1, 5/2 or 1/2 on.   The sooner we leave EEC the better.  Pounds shillings and pence.  That's what I say. !!! But I do know what 3.142 is   The wife was going away for a girly weekend. I jokingly remarked  'I don't know whether to spend it watching porn or watching football' 'you may as well spend it watching porn' she replied That's understanding darling what makes you say that? I asked She said 'Well you already know how to play football'
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The_Laughing_Mariner	April 6, 2018, 12:19pm
Brandy Drinker Posts: 2,837 Posts Per Day: 0.47 Reputation: 78.02% Rep Score: +17 / -5 Approval: +1,041 Gold Stars: 10	Stop it civvy. You are making me hungry <'(((((< When I was a little boy I asked my daddy what would i be would I be United, would i be Leeds Here's what he said to me Oh Grimsby Grimsby Whatever will be will be You'll follow then faithfully Oh Grimsby Grimsby Tell me Mam me Mam I dont want no tea no tea I'm watching the Grimsby Tell me Mam me mam
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GrimRob	April 6, 2018, 12:37pm
Moderator Posts: 12,666 Posts Per Day: 2.12 Reputation: 69.92% Rep Score: +76 / -34 Approval: +13,397 Gold Stars: 113	Quoted from Civvy at last Kids today eh?  2.4 and 5.329  etc etc. what the bl00dy hell is up with 3/1, 5/2 or 1/2 on.   The sooner we leave EEC the better.  Pounds shillings and pence.  That's what I say. !!! But I do know what 3.142 is   I loathe fractional odds. Cannot understand why anyone would want to use them! Try working out compound odds with fractional odds it is a nighmare! And you have to memorise loads of fractions and where they stand relative to one another (is 8/13 better than 4/6 etc).  Decimals are so simple! 'Tis better to have loved and lost than never to have loved at all.   ~ Alfred Lord Tennyson
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DavidB	April 6, 2018, 3:02pm
Table Wine Drinker Posts: 710 Posts Per Day: 0.12 Reputation: 89.09% Rep Score: +16 / -1 Approval: +192	Non-betting, just mathematical modelling: highlighted as one of the EFL 'matches that will matter' on this (excellent) site which predicts the chances of avoiding relegation for the 3 scenarios (78% if we win, 54% if it's a draw, and I'm not contemplating the third!) [url]https://experimental361.com/2018/04/06/matches-that-will-matter-6-7-apr-2018/[/url]
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