Chesterfield v Notts thread

Quoted from GrimRob

You should read my posts more carefully. I was suggesting the prices were wrong. I actually recommended betting on us at 50/1 and 40/1. I still think we are very good value at anything better than Evens. We've been consistently overpriced all season to go down. We were over 100/1 at one stage. For all that the run we're on is a Black Swan Event, something you'd only expect to see once in a hundred years. The points total this year to stay up is going to be ridicuolously low. We would have been much longer odds had the bookies known the actual points total that will eventually be required.

But once every 5 seasons under Fenty on average!  

Quoted from GrimRob

You should read my posts more carefully. I was suggesting the prices were wrong. I actually recommended betting on us at 50/1 and 40/1. I still think we are very good value at anything better than Evens. We've been consistently overpriced all season to go down. We were over 100/1 at one stage. For all that the run we're on is a Black Swan Event, something you'd only expect to see once in a hundred years. The points total this year to stay up is going to be ridicuolously low.

I'm absolutely staggered that we're still a longer price than Chesterfield to go down. We've scored 2 goals from open play in 10 games. Chesterfield have just wiped the floor with a promotion chasing side. I can't get my head around how anyone could think we've more chance of staying up than they have.

Quoted from MeanwoodMariner

I'm absolutely staggered that we're still a longer price than Chesterfield to go down. We've scored 2 goals from open play in 10 games. Chesterfield have just wiped the floor with a promotion chasing side. I can't get my head around how anyone could think we've more chance of staying up than they have.

According to the bookies (and no this doesn't mean this I what I think will happen) Barnet have a 86% chance of being relegated, Chesterfield a 71% chance and us only 31%. It's just been wrong for weeks. In my mind we're probably around 60%.

We must be heading for a record - worst 2nd half of a season ever. Can't be many teams who go 25 games without a win? Remember Millwall being top at Xmas and then being relegated. I don't think they were winless though

Quoted from GrimRob

You should read my posts more carefully. I was suggesting the prices were wrong. I actually recommended betting on us at 50/1 and 40/1. I still think we are very good value at anything better than Evens. We've been consistently overpriced all season to go down. We were over 100/1 at one stage. For all that the run we're on is a Black Swan Event, something you'd only expect to see once in a hundred years. The points total this year to stay up is going to be ridicuolously low. We would have been much longer odds had the bookies known the actual points total that will eventually be required.

The bookies know no more than you or I. The odds just represent the current standings and I have no idea why you often refer to them. It has no bearing whatsoever on the actual outcome.

Quoted from Ipswin

If we start winning a few and we are in the top 6 or 7 by Christmas and in with a chance of getting back into the league you and all the other 'never agains' will be back

Its a disease you can't just get it out of the system that  easily

You managed it didn't you? How many games have you been to this season? Last season? The non league years? Don't single me out to tell me how i feel and what i will do. I'm not talking relegation either, i'm talking about not supporting this board any more, no matter what division we are in next season. The things that have come out of the club this season are beyond sh1t football. The club stinks and the board are smug, arrogant individuals who have taken us for granted way too long and don't deserve our support.

Quoted from nightrider

We must be heading for a record - worst 2nd half of a season ever. Can't be many teams who go 25 games without a win? Remember Millwall being top at Xmas and then being relegated. I don't think they were winless though

And to do it twice in 8 years is really something.

I think York didn't win any of their last 20 when they went down (the first time).

Quoted from ginnywings

You managed it didn't you? How many games have you been to this season? Last season? The non league years? Don't single me out to tell me how i feel and what i will do. I'm not talking relegation either, i'm talking about not supporting this board any more, no matter what division we are in next season. The things that have come out of the club this season are beyond sh1t football. The club stinks and the board are smug, arrogant individuals who have taken us for granted way too long and don't deserve our support.

I'm with you Ginny.

It doesn't mater what division we are in next season, unless there is significant change at the top of the club I will not renew my season ticket. Once that happens I doubt I will be back

The other side of the coin is that if Fenty left and no longer had a stranglehold on the club I would buy a s/t whatever level we are at.

I've felt for a few weeks now that we are destined for the drop, the lack of action before the transfer window, that lack of quality being brought in during the transfer window, the excuses of over inflated prices for players, and ultimately giving someone more time when they clearly didn't deserve to be given the benefit of the doubt almost criminal. Fenty says he is a fan, the situation we find ourselves with Fenty at the helm waiting on football fortune without doing something to attract that football fortune smacks of reactive not proactive, a man who has delivered the worst teams, the most windless runs and most unattractive football and comes out with crap like he doesn't want to devalue the product. Fenty you are out of your depth and have been since you took over, fair enough you had a go as you put your cash in but you haven't invested anything for the last 5 years, enough is enough, you are killing this club, employ someone who can run the club, Accrington are doing it, sort it out.

Quoted from lew chaterleys lover

The bookies know no more than you or I. The odds just represent the current standings and I have no idea why you often refer to them. It has no bearing whatsoever on the actual outcome.

Two reasons. 1) they give an objective assessment of where things stand, it's all about probabilities, and football is a game of chance. 2) because they are frequently wrong, largely due to people over backing the status quo (i.e. the big clubs will always come good). I always follow a few markets very closely. When I backed Leicester at 2000/1 it was after 10 games and they were around 6th I think. I backed Shrewsbury this year to get promoted at around 66/1 and they were in the top 4 at the time if I recall! These days I seem to make more money on the long-term markets than I do on betting on individual matches.