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Relegation calculator

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denni266
March 4, 2018, 10:17am

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Slades un finished business was to send us down by the look of it
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GrimRob
March 4, 2018, 11:25am

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According to Bet365 we only have a 15% chance of relegation. 11/2 seems very generous to me. What do others think?


'Tis better to have loved and lost than never to have loved at all.  
~ Alfred Lord Tennyson
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ginnywings
March 4, 2018, 11:34am

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Quoted from GrimRob
According to Bet365 we only have a 15% chance of relegation. 11/2 seems very generous to me. What do others think?


They are obviously looking at it more objectively then we are because they have no vested interest other than making money. We are convinced we are going down, but they see a team who have more points on the board than those teams below us, so at this moment in time, the odds are slightly in our favour. The teams below us have to win their games in hand to draw level with us and there is no guarantee that they will, given their equally poor form.

The odds are dropping week by week at the moment, but if we were to win on Saturday, they would most likely go the other way. Odds only reflect what has happened to date and i don't get your reliance on their relevance. They know no more than we do what will happen.
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Grimbiggs
March 4, 2018, 11:53am
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I've just used the calculator again and this is what it predicts:-


19     Crewe     46     -20     47
20     Yeovil     46     -17     46
21     Morecambe     46     -20     43
22     Grimsby     46     -31     42
23     Chesterfield     46     -32     40
24     Barnet     46     -31     35

Personally I don't think any team will stay up on only 42 points, Chesterfield have been decimated by injuries, if and when they get all their key players back I can see them improving as they beat Swindon last week, and have also beaten Luton recently.....we have a huge squad that's much of a muchness, and unless Dembele returns to his early season form we're going to struggle to get the 9/10 points I think we're going to need. I think the 11/2 is a fair price, and even though I'm a regular gambler I couldn't back Town to be relegated.  
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malkamalka
March 4, 2018, 11:53am
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This assumes that the rest of the season is going to be a continuance of 2018 so far.

Get a result against Vale, and the confidence will start to return. Can we also believe that Jolley has a skill in instilling motivation in others?

Who knows, we might even finish outside the bottom 6 - it's so tight in there.

Heads up and UTM


"Knowledge speaks, but wisdom listens." (Jimi Hendrix)
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Gaffer58
March 4, 2018, 1:01pm
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What is this relegation calculator thingy, my Commodore 64 keeps crashing.
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lew chaterleys lover
March 4, 2018, 1:39pm
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Quoted from GrimRob
According to Bet365 we only have a 15% chance of relegation. 11/2 seems very generous to me. What do others think?


I know you love your betting odds and stuff, but a few weeks ago the bookies said it was almost impossible for us to go down.It doesn't mean a thing.

I prefer to see with my own eyes whats happening, and several weeks ago it was obvious to me we were in deep trouble.

Within a couple of games we could be in the bottom 2.

We have the one advantage of a possible new manager bounce; if that doesn't work we have had it.
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Grimal
March 4, 2018, 1:40pm
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This is what I came up with, That would be great.-------------

18     Forest Green     46     -19     46
19     Grimsby     46     -27     45
20     Morecambe     46     -19     43
21     Port Vale     46     -19     43
22     Yeovil     46     -26     41
23     Chesterfield     46     -33     37
24     Barnet     46     -32     33
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