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Good Bet?

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lobsterpot
September 7, 2014, 1:34am Report to Moderator

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Ha ha Les you must be the worst tipster ever lol sorry made me laugh but bloody awful


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Les Brechin
September 7, 2014, 8:28am Report to Moderator

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Quoted from lobsterpot
Ha ha Les you must be the worst tipster ever lol sorry made me laugh but bloody awful


Yeah, bit of a disaster wasn't it.  

Still, as long as it comes in once a season that'll do me.


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GrimRob
September 7, 2014, 8:39am Report to Moderator

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Quoted from sutton mariner
Sitting on the bus today and I heard someone talk about this...
Every season there is one/two rounds in the premier league in which each and every team scores a goal. They put on an accumulator bet on every round in which they put both teams to score/ 1.5+ goals on the game on.

Apparently every year when it comes off they win big.

Could someone clarify this is a decent bet / does this?


It's easy enough to work out. According to my database over the last six seasons 51% of PL games both teams scored in. There are 10 games in a "round", so the odds of it happening are (0.51)^10, which is 0.13% (assuming no correlation between the results). That's one every 775 "rounds", of which there are about 35 complete 10 match rounds a season because of cup games. So you'd expect to win around once every 20 years. The bookies are probably on to a winner if people have these bets!


'Tis better to have loved and lost than never to have loved at all.  
~ Alfred Lord Tennyson

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forza ivano
September 7, 2014, 12:21pm Report to Moderator

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I seem to remember the Belgian league being an utter goal fest and it was an almost constant winner for those betting on goals, btts etc
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Les Brechin
September 13, 2014, 5:26pm Report to Moderator

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Quoted from lobsterpot
Ha ha Les you must be the worst tipster ever lol sorry made me laugh but bloody awful


I didn't bother posting my 6 games today and it's gone and come in. A profit of £303.46.  

Ipswich @ 21/20Match BettingOpen
Ipswich v Millwall
Coventry @ 23/20Match BettingOpen
Coventry v Yeovil
Luton @ 11/8Match BettingOpen
Luton v Cheltenham
Newport @ 13/10Match BettingOpen
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Southend @ 5/4Match BettingOpen
Southend v Portsmouth
Stevenage @ 9/5Match BettingOpen
Stevenage v Shrewsbury



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