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General election

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grimsby pete
April 19, 2017, 6:59pm

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Yes Maringer I did realise May was in the remain camp the same as that idiot Cameron,

He was that certain we would vote remain he gave us a referendum thinking it would be a vote winner for him.

I can not see Corbyn ever becoming Prime minister Labour have lost most of its core support,

May will do her best to get the right sort of deal for us whatever her views before the referendum.

About the 500 billion it sounds good if invested in the right way but I doubt it would be with Corbyn in charge.


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KingstonMariner
April 19, 2017, 7:22pm
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Picking up on Maringers point about post-War growth, the governments in power after the War, right u to the 1970s, were largely made up of people who'd lived through the Depression of the 30s. They'd seen what effect cuts had on economies at a time of recession. They helped turn a downturn, which normally last a year or two into a decade of austerity. Sound familiar?


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For in our hearts the dreams are still the same.
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Grim74
April 19, 2017, 8:00pm
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Quoted from Maringer


The figures for Murphy's run down of statistics are those published by the OBR. Yes, official government statistics so I'm not quite so sure why you doubt them. I think he even provides a link where you can download them yourself to check if you're in doubt.

The Tories have traditionally borrowed more and repaid less, it's as simple as that. The fact that they've somehow gained a reputation for fiscal rectitude is baffling until you consider how much of the media they've had lying for them over the years. The Tories have borrowed more in more years (though they've been in power longer as well) and repaid much, much less during these additional years in power.

And that paints a better picture than the actual reality. Let's not forget that the bulk of the North Sea Oil receipts came in the Thatcher/Major years when they repaid almost nothing and borrowed much more:

http://www.newstatesman.com/po.....ain%E2%80%99s-future

All the while privatising various national assets, of course. Just what happened to all that money, I wonder? Did it end up in the pockets of the wealthy from ongoing tax cuts? Yep.

In comparison, the Norwegians invested their oil receipts in a sovereign wealth fund the value of which is forecast to reach $1 trillion by 2020 and the profits of which are invested back into their country. I don't think most people realise to this day just how badly the Tories shafted the country in the eighties.

Anyway, Murphy's figures are calculated in 2014 prices so all borrowing by the Labour government during the financial crisis and its immediate aftermath is included in the figures. Don't forget that the Coalition/Tories have continued to borrow hugely since then as well. Murphy gives a clear rundown of amount borrowed in original and 2014 prices so I'm not quite sure how you can argue against this.

I've absolutely no idea what you're talking about when you mention the post-war years. Clement Atlee was Labour Prime Minister from 1945 to 1951 and this is why the Welfare state and NHS came into existence, not to mention the benefits which came from nationalising of various major industries (since dismantled and sold off on the cheap, mostly during the 1980s).

However, I'm actually pleased you mentioned the post-war years. At the end of the war, the UK's debt/GDP ratio was almost 250% (as opposed to the current 90 percent or so), so can you imagine what the intellectual pygmies of the current Conservative Party would have done faced with this figure? Thankfully, back then there was an awareness that you can't cut your way out of a difficult situation such as this and despite all the wonderful policies enacted by the post-war Labour government (creation of the NHS, Welfare state etc etc) the debt was still reduced to 150% of GDP and falling by the early 1950s due to growth. And the subsequent Conservative and Labour governments continued with this post-war consensus which saw things improve further with debt falling below 50% in the 1970s. It was only with Thatcher that the Tories really lost their marbles and really started to screw the country over.

In comparison to the post-war years, in 2010 the Tories inherited a large deficit following the financial crisis buy growth was over 2% until they immediately began swingeing cuts which would have sent us back into recession if they hadn't quietly eased off whilst still blaming Labour largesse for their own problems. No wonder at all that they still won't be clearing the deficit until after 2020 (if then, given the likely impact of Brexit on our economy) when they originally promised to do so by 2015. A pity there is no real way to calculate how much lower the deficit would have been had we seen 2+% growth continue from 2010 until the present.

As for Labour plans to invest, at present there is such demand from investors to safely stow their money for minimal returns that long-term gilts (30 years or more) are effectively returning negative interest rates - the government could borrow billions to invest in the economy at no effective cost whatsoever and there is little doubt that such investment would more than pay for itself in the longer term. Just think what a couple of hundred billion invested in house building could do to resolve much of the housing crisis we're currently experiencing? Not that we've got enough skilled builders to do the work if such an investment was to be made - we'd have to get skilled immigrants to come and build our houses! We've long under-invested in infrastructure, education and training in comparison to our European and World neighbours/competitors as well as exporting all our manufacturing and heavy industry so it's no surprise that we're now ending up with a low-wage basketcase of an economy.


I'm not denying the statistics but it is an unfair comparison as the full facts site concludes.

How you feel the need to criticise the Thatcher/Major years is beyond me, Thatcher restarted a U.K. That had stopped! Where body's were not even being buried, hospitals closed and rubbish piled up, socialism in full swing, as for Major he handed over the Country in such strong shape that it took three successive Labour administrations to wreck it.

Clement Attlee was only in power for 5/6 years and in that time he will be remembered mostly for starving his people after the war had finished with unnecessary rationing, but don't worry the elites didn't go short. The Conservatives were in power for most of the post war rebuilding period when things rapidly returned to normal as Capitalism took over.

As for Corbyrns master plan to spend 500 billion ( figure plucked from the sky) rebuilding program, the one flaw that sticks out like Dianne Abbotts fat bottom is the fact he wants to have unlimited open door immigration, not to mention the green light to the refugees/migrants we would be swamped in no time, but hey should be able to get a cheap plumber.


Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime. Promise a man someone else's fish and he votes Labour.
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1739
April 19, 2017, 10:20pm
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Quoted from Grim74


I'm not denying the statistics but it is an unfair comparison as the full facts site concludes.

How you feel the need to criticise the Thatcher/Major years is beyond me, Thatcher restarted a U.K. That had stopped! Were body's where not even being buried, hospitals closed and rubbish piled up, socialism in full swing, as for Major he handed over the Country in such strong shape that it took three successive Labour administrations to wreck it.

Clement Attlee was only in power for 5/6 years and in that time he will be remembered mostly for starving his people after the war had finished with unnecessary rationing, but don't worry the elites didn't go short. The Conservatives were in power for most of the post war rebuilding period when things rapidly returned to normal as Capitalism took over.

As for Corbyrns master plan to spend 500 billion ( figure plucked from the sky) rebuilding program, the one flaw that sticks out like Dianne Abbotts fat bottom is the fact he wants to have unlimited open door immigration, not to mention the green light to the refugees/migrants we would be swamped in no time, but hey should be able to get a cheap plumber.


Has Fenty got a new username?
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barralad
April 19, 2017, 10:50pm
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Quoted from Grim74


I'm not denying the statistics but it is an unfair comparison as the full facts site concludes.

How you feel the need to criticise the Thatcher/Major years is beyond me, Thatcher restarted a U.K. That had stopped! Were body's where not even being buried, hospitals closed and rubbish piled up, socialism in full swing, as for Major he handed over the Country in such strong shape that it took three successive Labour administrations to wreck it.

Clement Attlee was only in power for 5/6 years and in that time he will be remembered mostly for starving his people after the war had finished with unnecessary rationing, but don't worry the elites didn't go short. The Conservatives were in power for most of the post war rebuilding period when things rapidly returned to normal as Capitalism took over.

As for Corbyrns master plan to spend 500 billion ( figure plucked from the sky) rebuilding program, the one flaw that sticks out like Dianne Abbotts fat bottom is the fact he wants to have unlimited open door immigration, not to mention the green light to the refugees/migrants we would be swamped in no time, but hey should be able to get a cheap plumber.


The alternative view on Attlee is of course that without his prudent handling of the economy in the immediate post war period the Tories wouldn't have been able to continue the recovery. It may have been "only six years" but it was the period where the priorities were finding homes for returning heroes as well as those who'd been rendered homeless by sustained bombing. The fact that he was still able to introduce the NHS with the set up costs associated is nothing short of amazing.


The aim of argument or discussion should not be victory but progress.

Joseph Joubert.
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Maringer
April 19, 2017, 11:10pm
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You've (Grim74) completely misunderstood the fullfacts page you're linking to.

This is saying that the claim that the current government (Coalition then Tory) since 2010 will have borrowed more than all previous Labour governments by 2020 is not accurate. However, this is just one government and a 10 year period as compared to the Labour party's 28 years in office (since 1946).

Murphy's figures (which come from the House of Commons Library, not the OBR - my error), show that the Tories have borrowed a lot more every year in office than Labour in current-day prices - around 25% more per year on average - and repaid a fraction of the debt than Labour have in current day prices - less than a fifth.

How does that square with your idea that Labour are profligate spenders and the Tories have fiscal rectitude? It doesn't - it entirely contradicts it, as I'll hope you can agree.

By pretty much every measure, the Thatcher years proved catastrophic for the UK. Despite the fact that Thatcher had a massive windfall from the oil, sold off much of the social housing built by earlier governments (kicking off the problems leading to the ridiculous housing market in the present day) and privatised anything which wasn't nailed down (undervaluing them in every single case, of course, as copied by Hameron & Co with the Royal Mail), poverty increased enormously, from 13.4% of the population in 1979 up to 22.2% in 1990:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/datablog/2013/apr/08/britain-changed-margaret-thatcher-charts

Economic inequality increased massively as well, something which was never reversed under the Labour-lite Blair governments. Let's not forget that unemployment peaked at almost 12% (higher in impoverished, mostly northern areas) and was over 2 million for every year but 1980 (and over 3 million for four years, 83 to 86) when she had just got started.

Quite interesting that Thatcher is so beloved by the right. She certainly broke the backs of the Unions (with illegal use of the police and army, of course) and they certainly had too much power, but if the Germans can benefit from strong unions, there shouldn't be any reason why

The unemployment came about due to a massive experiment with monetarism which ultimately managed to bring down inflation, but at what cost? Discussion of this here:

https://mainlymacro.blogspot.co.uk/2013/04/on-economic-achievements-and-failures.html

Your view of Atlee is somewhat bizarre. Atlee's government implemented the recommendations of the Beveridge Report and reduced the debt to GDP ratio by almost 100% in just 6 years! As I have already noted, subsequent governments continued with similar policies so talk of a return to normal Capitalism is nonsense.

I've pointed out that we're desperately in need of investment in infrastructure, housing, education and so forth and explained why the £500 billion figure was mooted and how it could be worthwhile. You don't seem concerned about the lack of investment and our rubbish infrastructure because you are mostly concerned about immigration. To put it simply, we need immigration because we've got an aging population and need to pay for the triple-locked pensions of the retiring baby boomers who are now retiring in droves, their healthcare and so forth. We also need foreign doctors and nurses to migrate here to treat them because we're not training nearly enough medical staff and haven't for years. The stupid fornicators have even changed nurses bursaries to loans recently because one thing which is guaranteed to attract people to a difficult and poorly-paid job is obviously more debt! We also need lots of other immigrants with skills in many fields because we haven't trained/educated enough people to fulfil these roles due to underinvestment.

Very tough times ahead, regardless of what occurs in the election.
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codcheeky
April 19, 2017, 11:18pm
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Quoted from Grim74


I'm not denying the statistics but it is an unfair comparison as the full facts site concludes.

How you feel the need to criticise the Thatcher/Major years is beyond me, Thatcher restarted a U.K. That had stopped! Were body's where not even being buried, hospitals closed and rubbish piled up, socialism in full swing, as for Major he handed over the Country in such strong shape that it took three successive Labour administrations to wreck it.

Clement Attlee was only in power for 5/6 years and in that time he will be remembered mostly for starving his people after the war had finished with unnecessary rationing, but don't worry the elites didn't go short. The Conservatives were in power for most of the post war rebuilding period when things rapidly returned to normal as Capitalism took over.

As for Corbyrns master plan to spend 500 billion ( figure plucked from the sky) rebuilding program, the one flaw that sticks out like Dianne Abbotts fat bottom is the fact he wants to have unlimited open door immigration, not to mention the green light to the refugees/migrants we would be swamped in no time, but hey should be able to get a cheap plumber.


What a bizarre assessment , the Labour Govt of 1945 founded modern Britain and is perhaps remembered as the greatest this country has known
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Maringer
April 20, 2017, 8:28am
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I think the thing that many don't realise is that many of the policies of the 'far-left' Corbyn wouldn't have been too much out of place in a Conservative Party manifesto from the mid-1970s when keeping to the ideals of the post-war consensus was still perceived as the correct way to operate by all major parties

It was Thatcher who changed all this and was the catalyst which led to the most serious problems we face today with housing and severe inequality.. Corbyn is fundamentally a moderate social democrat so it is particularly comical when he's accused of being a communist by those on the right.
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ginnywings
April 20, 2017, 8:42am

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Quoted from Maringer
I think the thing that many don't realise is that many of the policies of the 'far-left' Corbyn wouldn't have been too much out of place in a Conservative Party manifesto from the mid-1970s when keeping to the ideals of the post-war consensus was still perceived as the correct way to operate by all major parties

It was Thatcher who changed all this and was the catalyst which led to the most serious problems we face today with housing and severe inequality.. Corbyn is fundamentally a moderate social democrat so it is particularly comical when he's accused of being a communist by those on the right.


This is a point that i was going to make.

Can anyone tell me why Corbyn is a clown and someone you wouldn't trust to run the country? Is it merely because the right wing press tell you this, or do you have any actual evidence? It should be about party politics and policies, not personalities.
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grimsby pete
April 20, 2017, 9:25am

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Quoted from ginnywings


This is a point that i was going to make.

Can anyone tell me why Corbyn is a clown and someone you wouldn't trust to run the country? Is it merely because the right wing press tell you this, or do you have any actual evidence? It should be about party politics and policies, not personalities.


Not so much a clown but not living in the real world,

Even most Labour MPS would like him gone ,

He is their leader because the rank and file members want him there,

If he ever becomes Prime Minister I will run round ( well limp ) Blundell Park naked.


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